Cardiff MU vs Bala Town: match statistics
Cardiff MU occupies a higher league position (7th) than Bala Town (10th), however both teams are in very similar and concerning form - each has earned only 1 point per game over their last 5 matches. The hosts have poor home efficiency (21% wins, 43% losses) and a high average of goals conceded (1.86), which does not give them a decisive advantage. Bala Town performs poorly away from home (29% wins, 64% losses), but Cardiff also fails to impress with their home form, carrying a 'ddlll' streak in their recent home fixtures. An identical goal difference for both teams (-10) along with similar xG metrics suggest a closely contested match. Considering Cardiff's high number of draws this season (13) and the recent form of both sides, a share of the points appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing at home.
Cardiff MU vs Bala Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cardiff MU played against Bala Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Cardiff MU has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bala Town has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Cardiff MU scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.55. Bala Town scores 0.90 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Cardiff MU's games and 38% of Bala Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 38%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cardiff MU has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.09 per game. Cardiff MU takes 10.7 shots per game, while Bala Town takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Cardiff MU leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Bala Town leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cardiff MU's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Bala Town, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff MU occupies a higher league position (7th) than Bala Town (10th), however both teams are in very similar and concerning form - each has earned only 1 point per game over their last 5 matches. The hosts have poor home efficiency (21% wins, 43% losses) and a high average of goals conceded (1.86), which does not give them a decisive advantage. Bala Town performs poorly away from home (29% wins, 64% losses), but Cardiff also fails to impress with their home form, carrying a 'ddlll' streak in their recent home fixtures. An identical goal difference for both teams (-10) along with similar xG metrics suggest a closely contested match. Considering Cardiff's high number of draws this season (13) and the recent form of both sides, a share of the points appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are low (Cardiff MU 40%, Bala Town 36%) and significantly below the league average (51%), favoring a no-goal scenario for one team. Both sides also have high percentages of matches without scoring (FTS: 40% and 43%) and low average goals scored (0.87 and 0.93), limiting the chances of both teams scoring. Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet relatively often (40%), and Bala Town, despite a weaker defense (1.64 conceded/2.0 xGA), generates only moderate offense themselves (1.06 xG) and has averaged 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. The trend from the last 5 games (BTTS: 60% vs 40%) is not sufficiently consistent, and the total goals from recent runs (4 and 3) confirm finishing issues. The most probable outcome is a match where at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal comes from the 3.5 line: Cardiff MU have 73% of matches Under 3.5, and Bala Town 79%, with simultaneously very low Over 4.5 (7% and 0%). The goal profiles of both teams are rather 'low' (average goals scored: 0.87 and 0.93), and in the last 5 matches, they scored only 1.4 goals per match combined (0.8 and 0.6). The xG model suggests a moderate number of chances, but without excessive 'surplus' for goals (xG_for 1.11/1.06 against xG_against 1.57/1.97), which gives approximately 2.55 expected goals in the match. Additionally, low BTTS (40% and 36%) and a high percentage of matches with at most 3 goals support a scenario without a scoreline like 3:2 or 4:0. Therefore, the best choice is Under 3.5 as the most probable and market-stable variant.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as both teams often reach HT with an X result (Cardiff 33%, Bala 43%), and in Cardiff's last 5 matches, as many as 60% of them were level at the break with a very low average goals per first half (0.4). Bala also has a high first-half clean sheet percentage (79%) and 64% of clean sheets at HT, favoring a 0-0 or 1-1 scenario at half-time. After the break, Cardiff's advantage grows, as Bala has a weak defense this season (1.64 goals conceded per match, xGA 1.97) and a very high overall loss rate (64%). Additionally, Bala loses more often in second halves (56%) and concedes an average of 1.07 goals, increasing the chances that if the score is level at half-time, the home side will 'push on' to secure a win. Overall, the match profile suggests a cautious start and a higher probability of the balance tipping in Cardiff's favor late on.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff MU | Bala Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff MU is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Cardiff MU · 0.9 goals / game - Bala Town
Bala Town is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.55 goals / game - Cardiff MU · 1.41 goals / game - Bala Town
Cardiff MU scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Bala Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Bala Town scores in 59% of games (17 of 29 meczów), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
Over / Under - Bala Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 24%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bala Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cardiff MU
Bala Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff MU | Liga | Bala Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.86 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Cardiff MU's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Bala Town. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Cardiff MU 2:1 Bala Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff MU and Bala Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cardiff MU won 1, Bala Town won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?
Cardiff MU score 1.31 goals per game on average and Bala Town 0.90. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Cardiff MU's matches and 38% of Bala Town's.
What form are Cardiff MU and Bala Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff MU have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bala Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?
The statistical background for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.