Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueCyncoed Campus Artificial PitchData current as of September 24, 2026

Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cardiff MU plays Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch.

Recent form

Cardiff MU has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Caernarfon Town has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Cardiff MU scores 2.11 goals per game and allows 1.22. Caernarfon Town scores 3.30 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 3.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Cardiff MU's games and 60% of Caernarfon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 80%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cardiff MU has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.68 per game. Cardiff MU takes 13.8 shots per game, while Caernarfon Town takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Cardiff MU leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 1.22 goals per game after halftime. Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 70% and scores 1.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cardiff MU's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Caernarfon Town, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.34 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.04)
(3.55)
(2.08)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
2.11Goals scored / game3.3
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
1.22Goals allowed / game1.1
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
49%Average possession61%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
6Shots on target / game6.7
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.78Shots per game14.5
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
6Shots on target6.7
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
15.3%Shot conversion22.8%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
49%Possession61%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
1.71xG for1.68
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
1.57xG against1.23
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

Shooting quality

Cardiff MU: Efficient finishingCaernarfon Town: Dominant
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
Accuracy (shots on target)44%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Caernarfon Town is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Cardiff MU · 2 pts / game - Caernarfon Town

Cardiff MU
WWDDL
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Caernarfon Town
LWWDW
Season result split
70% W10% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-2
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caernarfon Town is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

2.11 goals / game - Cardiff MU · 3.3 goals / game - Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.22 goals / game - Cardiff MU · 1.1 goals / game - Caernarfon Town

Cardiff MU scoring profile: strong

Cardiff MU scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

Caernarfon Town scoring profile: very strong

Caernarfon Town scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

19Goals scored (season)33
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
11Goals conceded (season)11
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
3.33Average goals per game4.4
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
11Goals scored (last 5)20
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
56%2 goals80%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
33%3 goals50%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
22%4 goals30%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal60%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
22%2 goals30%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
11%3 goals20%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
11%4 goals0%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time40%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
56%Scored in both halves60%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
40%BTTS - last 560%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time40%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caernarfon Town is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / game - Cardiff MU · 2.1 pts / game - Caernarfon Town

Cardiff MU - half-time state
56% leading22% draw22% trailing
Caernarfon Town - half-time state
70% leading0% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per game (1st half)2.1
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
0.89Goals scored (1st half)1.5
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
0.22Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
1.11Average goals (1st half)2.2
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
78%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
44%No goal before half-time10%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per game (2nd half)1.9
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)1.8
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
2.22Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
44%Clean sheet after half-time70%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town
33%No goal after half-time30%
Cardiff MUCaernarfon Town

Cardiff MU - second-half results

56% W0% D44% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 44%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

50% W40% D10% L
21
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 70% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cardiff MU - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Caernarfon Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.00
Goals scored / game1.62.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game2.22.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+5+10
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cardiff MU
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
8
2
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cardiff MU

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
219%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Cardiff MULigaCaernarfon Town
Average goals per game 3.333.34 4.40
Both teams scored 33%52% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%61% 80%
Clean sheets 33%25% 40%
Goal before half-time 78%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%85% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cardiff MU's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Caernarfon Town. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Caernarfon Town FC
0 : 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
2 : 2
Caernarfon Town FC

FAQ

When do Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town play?

Cardiff MU face Caernarfon Town on September 26, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cardiff MU won 1, Caernarfon Town won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?

Cardiff MU score 2.11 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 3.30. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Cardiff MU's matches and 60% of Caernarfon Town's.

What form are Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff MU have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?

The statistical background for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.