Carina Gubin vs Polkowice: match statistics
Carina Gubin vs Polkowice: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carina Gubin played against Polkowice in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Carina Gubin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Polkowice has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Carina Gubin scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.63. Polkowice scores 1.70 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 3.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Carina Gubin's games and 44% of Polkowice's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 56%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polkowice has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.26 per game. Carina Gubin takes 2.4 shots per game, while Polkowice takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Carina Gubin leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.26 goals per game after halftime. Polkowice leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carina Gubin's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). For Polkowice, it is minutes 0-15 (32 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 3 games average 3.23 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polkowice are the match favorites: they have 15 wins this season versus Carina Gubin's 8, a superior goal difference 46:36 and significantly fewer goals conceded 31 versus 44. Away, Polkowice average 1.57 goals with 12.92 shots and 6 on target, while Carina at home average 1.23 goals scored and concede 1.38 per game, indicating an advantage for the visitors in chance creation and attacking efficiency. In the last 5 matches Carina's record is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 5 goals (an average of 1.0 points per game), whereas Polkowice are unbeaten in that period with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring 6 and conceding only 2 (an average of 1.8 points per game). Additionally, Polkowice keep a clean sheet in 50% of away matches, and their average xG away is 1.57, which confirms their ability to create quality chances. Considering better finishing (12% conversion rate away), a higher volume of shots and a more stable defense, I predict an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data is mixed: Carina have BTTS - Yes in 57% of home matches, Polkowice away only 29%, while the league average is 59% BTTS, indicating a league tendency toward Goal/Goal fixtures. Hosts score 1.71 and concede 1.21 per game (36 for, 44 against), whereas visitors record 1.57 scored and 1.00 conceded (46/31), so Carina are more defensively vulnerable than Polkowice. In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 40%; Polkowice in that period averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded, Carina 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, suggesting recent defensive advantage for the visitors. Polkowice have 50% clean sheets this season versus 36% for the hosts, which weakens the BTTS scenario, but the teams’ xG are nearly identical (1.54 vs 1.57) and average shots on target are 6.0 for the visitors vs 4.46 for the hosts, so scoring opportunities should be present. Weighing these signals — strong league propensity for BTTS (59%) and Carina’s 57% home BTTS versus Polkowice’s 50% clean sheets — I project BTTS - Yes as more likely and estimate 55% for YES vs 45% for NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Carina Gubin averages 1.71 goals scored per match, Polkowice 1.57, and their seasonal xG is 1.54 (home) and 1.57 (away). Average xG conceded is 1.35 for Gubin and 1.58 for Polkowice, which when averaged yields projected expected goals of 1.56 for the home side and 1.46 for the visitors (total 3.02). Seasonal data shows over 1.5 occurs frequently: 71% of matches for the home team and 86% for the away team, and the league averages 3.18 goals per match, so at least 2 goals appears likely. Seasonal over 2.5 is 57% (home) and 50% (away), but the high percentage of over 0.5 (86%/93%) and a relatively high number of shots on target (4.46 vs 6.0) support a larger number of goal-scoring opportunities. Therefore I recommend backing the over on the 1.5 line, because the 3.02 expected goals projection and the high over-1.5 rates for both teams provide the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a draw at half-time because in the last 5 matches Carina were level at the break in 75% and Polkowice in 60%, while seasonally the percentage of clean halves is 83% for the hosts and 75% for the visitors, indicating few goals before the break. Hosts score on average 0.33 goals before half-time versus 0.63 for the visitors, so the first half should be low-scoring. The decisive factor will be the second half: Polkowice have a positive second-half goal difference of +6, average 1.88 points gained in second halves and win 50% of second halves, which shows their ability to produce a turnaround after the break. Additionally, Polkowice scored 4 goals in minutes 76–90 while the hosts conceded 3 in that phase, increasing the likelihood of an away win after a half-time draw. As a result the strongest scenario is X/2 (draw at half-time, away win), to which I assign the highest single probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carina Gubin | Polkowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 12% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.52 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 4.43 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Polkowice is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Carina Gubin · 1.8 pts / game - Polkowice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polkowice is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Carina Gubin · 1.7 goals / game - Polkowice
Polkowice is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.63 goals / game - Carina Gubin · 1.15 goals / game - Polkowice
Carina Gubin scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 games), while Polkowice keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 games).
Polkowice scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 games), while Carina Gubin keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carina Gubin
Over / Under - Polkowice
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carina Gubin is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Carina Gubin · 1.3 pts / game - Polkowice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carina Gubin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Polkowice - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (32 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carina Gubin
Polkowice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Carina Gubin | Liga | Polkowice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.96 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 56% | 35% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 38% | • 37% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- PolkowiceGoalBartosz Zynek
Head-to-head
Record from Carina Gubin's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Polkowice. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carina Gubin vs Polkowice?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Carina Gubin 1:2 Polkowice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carina Gubin vs Polkowice?
Carina Gubin score 1.33 goals per game on average and Polkowice 1.70. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Carina Gubin's matches and 44% of Polkowice's.
What form are Carina Gubin and Polkowice in?
Over the last 5 games Carina Gubin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Polkowice 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carina Gubin vs Polkowice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.