Carlisle United vs Boston United: match statistics
Carlisle United holds a significant advantage as the home side, ranking 3rd in the table and boasting an impressive 63% win rate at their home ground. The hosts score an average of 2.16 goals per match at home, with only 11% of matches failing to score, highlighting an effective offense. Boston United has poorer away form with a 37% win rate and as many as 26% of matches without scoring on the road, averaging just 1.63 goals. The difference in xG values is clear – Carlisle generates 2.02 xG at home, while Boston only 1.33 away, confirming the home team's qualitative superiority. Carlisle's positive goal difference at home (+19) and solid defensive record (63% clean sheets at home compared to 37% away) support their victory, although Boston can be a tricky opponent, which justifies a moderate probability of a draw.
Carlisle United vs Boston United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carlisle United played against Boston United in National League (England). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Recent form
Carlisle United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Boston United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Carlisle United scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 1.21. Boston United scores 1.32 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Carlisle United's games and 61% of Boston United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 55%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.35 per game. Carlisle United takes 14.0 shots per game, while Boston United takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Carlisle United leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Boston United leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (14 goals). For Boston United, it is minutes 46-60 (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United holds a significant advantage as the home side, ranking 3rd in the table and boasting an impressive 63% win rate at their home ground. The hosts score an average of 2.16 goals per match at home, with only 11% of matches failing to score, highlighting an effective offense. Boston United has poorer away form with a 37% win rate and as many as 26% of matches without scoring on the road, averaging just 1.63 goals. The difference in xG values is clear – Carlisle generates 2.02 xG at home, while Boston only 1.33 away, confirming the home team's qualitative superiority. Carlisle's positive goal difference at home (+19) and solid defensive record (63% clean sheets at home compared to 37% away) support their victory, although Boston can be a tricky opponent, which justifies a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Boston United is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.6 pts / game - Boston United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.82 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.32 goals / game - Boston United
Carlisle United is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.45 goals / game - Boston United
Carlisle United scores in 87% of games (33 of 38 meczów), while Boston United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 meczów).
Boston United scores in 71% of games (27 of 38 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Boston United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.13 pts / game - Boston United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Boston United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carlisle United
Boston United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.03 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 23% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carlisle United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Boston United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Boston United?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 6:2 Boston United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Boston United?
Carlisle United score 1.82 goals per game on average and Boston United 1.32. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Carlisle United's matches and 61% of Boston United's.
What form are Carlisle United and Boston United in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Boston United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Boston United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carlisle United vs Boston United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.