Carlisle United vs Gateshead: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Gateshead: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United play Gateshead in National League (England). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Gateshead: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 1.87 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Gateshead scores 1.17 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 51%, Gateshead 52%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 62%, Gateshead 65%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.36. Carlisle United: 14.1 shots per match, Gateshead: 9.9.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.98. Gateshead: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 76-90+ (19 goals). Gateshead: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Carlisle are the favorites: at home they have a 65% win rate, have won 26 matches this season and scored 78 goals, and at home they average 2.35 goals per game, while Gateshead sit 19th, have 12 wins and average 1.35 goals per away match. Defensively the hosts also have the edge: Carlisle concede 1.2 goals per home game (49 conceded this season) and keep clean sheets in 35% of matches, whereas Gateshead concede 2.15 goals on the road (84 conceded) and have only 10% clean sheets. In chance creation the gap is clear — Carlisle average 16 shots and 7.1 on target at home with xG 2.04, while Gateshead on the road average 8.7 shots and 3.3 on target with xG 1.25, indicating significantly more and better opportunities for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Carlisle have won 4, scored 12 goals and average 2.4 points per game, and Gateshead have won 3 of 5, scored 7 goals and average 2.0 points per game, so both are in good form but the hosts are more efficient. Considering the advantage in quantity and quality of chances, lower average goals conceded (1.2 vs 2.15), higher clean sheet rate (35% vs 10%) and lower percentage of matches without scoring (10% vs 35%), I tip a Carlisle win; estimated probabilities: 72% home, 18% draw, 10% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.4 pts / match - Gateshead
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.17 goals / match - Gateshead
Carlisle United is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.96 goals / match - Gateshead
Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (41 of 47 matches), while Gateshead keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).
Gateshead scores in 63% of matches (29 of 46 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (18 of 47 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carlisle United
Over / Under — Gateshead
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1 pts / match - Gateshead
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gateshead - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
Gateshead
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carlisle United 1 - 0 - 0 Gateshead. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Gateshead?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 0:0 Gateshead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Gateshead?
Carlisle United score 1.87 goals per game on average and Gateshead 1.17. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Carlisle United's matches and 52% of Gateshead's.
What form are Carlisle United and Gateshead in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Gateshead 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Gateshead?
The statistical background for Carlisle United vs Gateshead — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.