Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carlisle United played against Kidderminster Harriers in National League (England). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Brunton Park. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Carlisle United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kidderminster Harriers has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Carlisle United scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 1.67. Kidderminster Harriers scores 1.25 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of Carlisle United's games and 50% of Kidderminster Harriers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 33%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.10 per game. Carlisle United takes 15.1 shots per game, while Kidderminster Harriers takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Carlisle United leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Kidderminster Harriers leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Kidderminster Harriers, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United are 14th and Kidderminster Harriers 8th, but the home and away statistics favor the hosts. Carlisle average 2.5 goals at home and generate an xG of 2.30, while the visitors score 1.6 goals away from home with an xG of just 0.85. The difference in chance creation is also reflected in shots on target: Carlisle average 8.5 per match compared with Kidderminster’s 2.6. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 8 goals and picked up 7 points, while the visitors have managed just 3 goals and 5 points. Carlisle’s defensive record is a concern, with the team conceding an average of 2.33 goals at home, so a home win remains the most likely outcome, but it is by no means certain.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication is that Kidderminster may fail to score: the visitors have been held scoreless in 40% of their matches, while Carlisle have kept a clean sheet in 43%. Although Kidderminster average 1.6 goals per game this season, their average has fallen to 0.6 goals across their last five matches, with an xG of just 0.87. Carlisle, on the other hand, should have chances to score, as the visitors concede an average of 1.6 goals and opponents create chances worth 1.76 xG against them. The percentage of matches in which both teams have scored is 43% for Carlisle and 60% for Kidderminster; however, the visitors’ recent attacking downturn tips the assessment in favor of BTTS - No. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily imply a 0-0 result.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: none of Carlisle’s matches at home so far have exceeded 2.5 goals, although at least 4 goals were scored in 60% of Kidderminster’s away matches. The hosts concede an average of just 0.57 goals at home, while the visitors have scored an average of 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches, limiting the projection for Kidderminster’s goal tally. Carlisle could, however, exploit their opponents’ defense, which concedes an average of 1.6 goals away from home and allows chances worth 1.76 xG. The projected total of 2.35 goals offers a greater margin of safety for the 3.5 line than for 2.5, despite the league average being 3.08 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Carlisle have led at the break in 4 of their 7 home matches and have not trailed at half-time in any of them, while Kidderminster went in behind in 3 of their 5 away fixtures. The hosts concede an average of just 0.14 goals before half-time, whereas the visitors score 0.2 and concede 1.4 in that period, supporting the case for Carlisle to lead after 45 minutes. The full-match records also point to the hosts holding on to their advantage: Carlisle concede an average of 0.57 goals at home, compared with Kidderminster's 1.6 away, while the hosts' xG is 1.27 against 1.76 xG conceded by the visitors. The main risk to the 1/1 pick lies in the second half, when the visitors score an average of 1.4 goals and the hosts just 0.29, making Carlisle to lead at the break and draw at full-time a notable alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carlisle United is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1 pts / game - Kidderminster Harriers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 54% better for: goals scored per game.
1.92 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.25 goals / game - Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1 goals / game - Kidderminster Harriers
Carlisle United scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 games), while Kidderminster Harriers keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).
Kidderminster Harriers scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Kidderminster Harriers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.42 pts / game - Kidderminster Harriers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kidderminster Harriers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carlisle United
Kidderminster Harriers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.58 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 18% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 88% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 0:0 Kidderminster Harriers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers?
Carlisle United score 1.92 goals per game on average and Kidderminster Harriers 1.25. The National League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Carlisle United's matches and 50% of Kidderminster Harriers's.
What form are Carlisle United and Kidderminster Harriers in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kidderminster Harriers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.