Carlisle United vs Morecambe: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Carlisle United played against Morecambe in National League (England). The game was played on December 30, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Carlisle United has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Morecambe has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Carlisle United scores 1.79 goals per game and allows 1.13. Morecambe scores 1.29 and allows 2.25. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Carlisle United's games and 54% of Morecambe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 71%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.96 to 1.36 per game. Carlisle United takes 15.9 shots per game, while Morecambe takes 10.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Carlisle United leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Morecambe leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Morecambe, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

44Possession (%)56
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
14Shots11
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
8Shots on target3
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.77xG1.38
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
7Corners5
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
44Dangerous attacks63
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
-1Fouls-1
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
0Cards2
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.79Goals scored / game1.29
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.13Goals allowed / game2.25
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
52%Average possession55%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
6.38Shots on target / game3.92
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.92Shots per game10.88
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
6.38Shots on target3.92
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
11.3%Shot conversion11.9%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
52%Possession55%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.96xG for1.36
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.4xG against1.78
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

Shooting quality

Carlisle United: AttackingMorecambe: Balanced
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Carlisle United is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Carlisle United · 0.8 pts / game - Morecambe

Carlisle United
WWLLW
Season result split
63% W17% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-4-5
2.04 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Morecambe
DLLWL
Season result split
21% W21% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-14
0.83 pts / game · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 39% better for: goals scored per game.

1.79 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.29 goals / game - Morecambe

Carlisle United is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.13 goals / game - Carlisle United · 2.25 goals / game - Morecambe

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).

Morecambe scoring profile: strong

Morecambe scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).

43Goals scored (season)31
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
27Goals conceded (season)54
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
2.92Average goals per game3.54
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
8Goals scored (last 5)3
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal67%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
54%2 goals38%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
25%3 goals13%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
8%4 goals13%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal83%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
29%2 goals67%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
13%3 goals46%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
4%4 goals21%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time25%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
4%BTTS in both halves17%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
29%Scored in both halves38%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
60%BTTS - last 520%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.04 pts / game - Morecambe

Carlisle United - half-time state
42% leading33% draw25% trailing
Morecambe - half-time state
25% leading29% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per game (1st half)1.04
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)1
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.58
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
58%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
50%No goal before half-time54%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

After half-time (2nd half)

1.92Points per game (2nd half)1.04
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.96
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
58%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe
33%No goal after half-time42%
Carlisle UnitedMorecambe

Carlisle United - second-half results

54% W29% R17% P
38
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Morecambe - second-half results

25% W29% R46% P
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carlisle United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Morecambe - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
3
9
31-45
8
6
46-60
6
1
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Morecambe
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
13
31-45
8
9
46-60
5
9
61-75
4
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Morecambe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Carlisle UnitedLigaMorecambe
Average goals per game 2.922.81 3.54
Both teams scored 50%54% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%54% 71%
Clean sheets 38%26% 17%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 79%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Carlisle UnitedGoalLuke Thomas ArmstrongAssist: Regan Linney
  2. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Callum Tyler WhelanOff: Jordan Jones
  3. MorecambeSubstitutionOn: Paul LewisOff: Arjan Raikhy
  4. MorecambeYellow cardBenjamin Lee Tollitt
  5. MorecambeYellow cardLudwig Francillette
  6. MorecambeSubstitutionOn: Benjamin Joseph WilliamsOff: Emmerson Sutton

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Aaron BannisterMatches officiated: 11
4.55Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 218%Home wins36%Draws45%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Carlisle United vs Morecambe?

The National League match finished Carlisle United 1:0 Morecambe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Morecambe?

Carlisle United score 1.79 goals per game on average and Morecambe 1.29. The National League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carlisle United's matches and 54% of Morecambe's.

What form are Carlisle United and Morecambe in?

Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Morecambe 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Morecambe?

The statistical background for Carlisle United vs Morecambe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.