Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United: match statistics
Carlisle United presents impressive home form with 63% of matches won at home and an average of 2.06 goals scored per match against just 1.13 conceded. The hosts possess an advantage in xG (2.12 vs 1.23), confirming their offensive effectiveness at their own stadium. Scunthorpe United, despite a good table position and solid overall form (2 PPG in the last 5 matches), performs weaker on the road - only 50% wins and just 7% clean sheets, indicating defensive issues. Carlisle's recent form is concerning (1 victory in the last 5 matches), but their home statistics remain strong. Considering the hosts' advantage on their own turf and the balanced strength of both teams, I predict a victory for Carlisle, though Scunthorpe has the potential to spring a surprise or fight for a draw.
Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carlisle United played against Scunthorpe United in National League (England). The game was played on February 10, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Carlisle United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Scunthorpe United has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Carlisle United scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.17. Scunthorpe United scores 1.86 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Carlisle United's games and 75% of Scunthorpe United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.73 per game. Carlisle United takes 15.1 shots per game, while Scunthorpe United takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Carlisle United leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.97 goals per game after halftime. Scunthorpe United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Scunthorpe United, it is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United presents impressive home form with 63% of matches won at home and an average of 2.06 goals scored per match against just 1.13 conceded. The hosts possess an advantage in xG (2.12 vs 1.23), confirming their offensive effectiveness at their own stadium. Scunthorpe United, despite a good table position and solid overall form (2 PPG in the last 5 matches), performs weaker on the road - only 50% wins and just 7% clean sheets, indicating defensive issues. Carlisle's recent form is concerning (1 victory in the last 5 matches), but their home statistics remain strong. Considering the hosts' advantage on their own turf and the balanced strength of both teams, I predict a victory for Carlisle, though Scunthorpe has the potential to spring a surprise or fight for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Scunthorpe United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Scunthorpe United is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Carlisle United · 2.6 pts / game - Scunthorpe United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Scunthorpe United is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.86 goals / game - Scunthorpe United
Scunthorpe United is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.11 goals / game - Scunthorpe United
Carlisle United scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 meczów), while Scunthorpe United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Scunthorpe United scores in 93% of games (26 of 28 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Scunthorpe United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Scunthorpe United is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.86 pts / game - Scunthorpe United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Scunthorpe United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carlisle United
Scunthorpe United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Scunthorpe United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.90 | 2.82 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carlisle United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Scunthorpe United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 3:2 Scunthorpe United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United?
Carlisle United score 1.73 goals per game on average and Scunthorpe United 1.86. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Carlisle United's matches and 75% of Scunthorpe United's.
What form are Carlisle United and Scunthorpe United in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Scunthorpe United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.