Carlisle United vs Southend United: match statistics
Carlisle United displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and an average of 2.17 goals per match at home, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts are in 3rd place in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals. Southend United, despite a solid position (8th place) and good away efficiency (41% wins), lags behind the hosts in key offensive parameters - averaging 1.53 goals per away match compared to Carlisle's 2.17 at home. The hosts' goal difference in home games (+19) significantly exceeds Southend's away figure (+7), and higher xG values (2.07 vs 1.61) confirm Carlisle's qualitative advantage. Statistics point to a home advantage, although the guests' solid defense (35% clean sheets on the road) and their recent form (2.0 PPG) could turn this into a closely contested match with chances for a draw.
Carlisle United vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carlisle United played against Southend United in National League (England). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Carlisle United has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Southend United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Carlisle United scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.20. Southend United scores 1.66 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 51% of Carlisle United's games and 50% of Southend United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Southend United has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.83 per game. Carlisle United takes 14.5 shots per game, while Southend United takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Carlisle United leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.97 goals per game after halftime. Southend United leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.06 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (14 goals). For Southend United, it is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and an average of 2.17 goals per match at home, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts are in 3rd place in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals. Southend United, despite a solid position (8th place) and good away efficiency (41% wins), lags behind the hosts in key offensive parameters - averaging 1.53 goals per away match compared to Carlisle's 2.17 at home. The hosts' goal difference in home games (+19) significantly exceeds Southend's away figure (+7), and higher xG values (2.07 vs 1.61) confirm Carlisle's qualitative advantage. Statistics point to a home advantage, although the guests' solid defense (35% clean sheets on the road) and their recent form (2.0 PPG) could turn this into a closely contested match with chances for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carlisle United is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.4 pts / game - Southend United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.66 goals / game - Southend United
Southend United is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Carlisle United · 0.94 goals / game - Southend United
Carlisle United scores in 86% of games (30 of 35 meczów), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 meczów).
Southend United scores in 88% of games (28 of 32 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Southend United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carlisle United
Southend United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.03 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 24% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carlisle United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Southend United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Southend United?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 2:2 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Southend United?
Carlisle United score 1.83 goals per game on average and Southend United 1.66. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Carlisle United's matches and 50% of Southend United's.
What form are Carlisle United and Southend United in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Southend United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Southend United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.