Carlisle United vs Sutton United: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Sutton United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United play Sutton United in National League (England). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sutton United: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 1.87 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Sutton United scores 1.28 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 51%, Sutton United 61%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 62%, Sutton United 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.44. Carlisle United: 14.1 shots per match, Sutton United: 11.2.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.98. Sutton United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 76-90+ (19 goals). Sutton United: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Carlisle United enter this match as the clear favorites: they sit 3rd in the table and win 62% of home matches, scoring on average 2.24 goals and conceding 1.14 per game. In their last 5 fixtures the hosts have scored 11 goals, recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per match, whereas Sutton have just 1 win in their last 5, scored 5 goals and average 0.8 points per game. Carlisle generate superior offensive chances (average xG 2.04 at home vs 1.41 xG for Sutton away) and produce more shots and shots on target (on average 16 shots and 7.05 on target at home vs 10.67 and 4.14 for the visitors). Sutton’s defense is prone to errors — they concede 1.62 goals on average away, shipping 10 goals in their last 5 matches, while Carlisle have conceded 5 in the same period and keep 38% clean sheets at home. Given the advantage in creating high-quality chances, better form (2.2 points vs 0.8) and the hosts’ stronger defense, the projection is a Carlisle win; I estimate probabilities of approximately 68% for the home side, 18% for a draw and 14% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Sutton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Carlisle United · 0.2 pts / match - Sutton United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.28 goals / match - Sutton United
Carlisle United is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.72 goals / match - Sutton United
Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (41 of 47 matches), while Sutton United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
Sutton United scores in 72% of matches (33 of 46 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (18 of 47 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carlisle United
Over / Under — Sutton United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.15 pts / match - Sutton United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sutton United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
Sutton United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Sutton United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.92 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carlisle United 0 - 0 - 1 Sutton United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Sutton United?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 3:0 Sutton United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Sutton United?
Carlisle United score 1.87 goals per game on average and Sutton United 1.28. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Carlisle United's matches and 61% of Sutton United's.
What form are Carlisle United and Sutton United in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sutton United 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Sutton United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.