Carlisle United vs Tamworth: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Carlisle United played against Tamworth in National League (England). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Carlisle United has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Tamworth has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Carlisle United scores 1.85 goals per game and allows 1.05. Tamworth scores 1.25 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Carlisle United's games and 70% of Tamworth's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 55%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.53 per game. Carlisle United takes 16.1 shots per game, while Tamworth takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Carlisle United leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.15 goals per game after halftime. Tamworth leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Tamworth, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
26Shots7
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
13Shots on target3
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
3.16xG0.88
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
13Corners5
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
87Dangerous attacks31
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
5Fouls10
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
2Cards3
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.85Goals scored / game1.25
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.05Goals allowed / game1.5
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
51%Average possession39%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
6.3Shots on target / game4.4
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.1Shots per game11.6
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
6.3Shots on target4.4
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
11.5%Shot conversion10.8%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
51%Possession39%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.95xG for1.53
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.44xG against1.61
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

Shooting quality

Carlisle United: AttackingTamworth: Balanced
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
Accuracy (shots on target)39%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Carlisle United is 267% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Carlisle United · 0.6 pts / game - Tamworth

Carlisle United
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
65% W20% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-3
2.15 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Tamworth
LLLWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-8
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 2.05BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 48% better for: goals scored per game.

1.85 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.25 goals / game - Tamworth

Carlisle United is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.05 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.5 goals / game - Tamworth

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).

Tamworth scoring profile: very strong

Tamworth scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).

37Goals scored (season)25
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
21Goals conceded (season)30
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
2.9Average goals per game2.75
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
4Goals conceded (last 5)11
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal85%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
55%2 goals35%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
25%3 goals5%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
10%4 goals0%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal85%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
25%2 goals40%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
10%3 goals15%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
5%4 goals10%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time25%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
25%Scored in both halves20%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
80%BTTS - last 580%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.05 pts / game - Tamworth

Carlisle United - half-time state
45% leading35% draw20% trailing
Tamworth - half-time state
20% leading45% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per game (1st half)1.05
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.2
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
65%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
55%No goal before half-time60%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

After half-time (2nd half)

1.95Points per game (2nd half)1.25
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.15Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
55%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth
30%No goal after half-time35%
Carlisle UnitedTamworth

Carlisle United - second-half results

55% W30% D15% L
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tamworth - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carlisle United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tamworth - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.201.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.21.0
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
6
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
8
6
46-60
5
1
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Tamworth
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
7
31-45
2
9
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Tamworth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Carlisle UnitedLigaTamworth
Average goals per game 2.902.77 2.75
Both teams scored 50%54% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 55%
Clean sheets 40%26% 15%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 65%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardMorgan Feeney
  2. TamworthYellow cardTyler Roberts
  3. Carlisle UnitedGoalGeorgie Kelly
  4. TamworthYellow cardKennedy Digie
  5. TamworthGoalJordan PonticelliAssist: Ronan Maher
  6. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Matt CurleyOff: Callum Cockerill-Mollett
  7. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: David Ibukun AjiboyeOff: Junior Luamba
  8. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Luke Thomas ArmstrongOff: Alex Nicholas Gilliead
  9. Carlisle UnitedGoalGeorgie KellyAssist: Regan Linney
  10. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Hayden HollisOff: Joe Rye
  11. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardDavid Ibukun Ajiboye
  12. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Immanuelson Kwadwo Opoku DukuOff: Tyler Roberts
  13. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jack EllisOff: Christopher Seamus Michael Conn-Clarke
  14. TamworthYellow cardKwaku Donkor

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Niall SmithMatches officiated: 9
4.11Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins22%Draws22%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Carlisle United vs Tamworth?

The National League match finished Carlisle United 2:1 Tamworth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Tamworth?

Carlisle United score 1.85 goals per game on average and Tamworth 1.25. The National League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carlisle United's matches and 70% of Tamworth's.

What form are Carlisle United and Tamworth in?

Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Tamworth 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Tamworth?

The statistical background for Carlisle United vs Tamworth — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.