Carlisle United vs York City: match statistics
The match promises to be an incredibly tight clash between two top teams in the competition. York City, as league leaders, present impressive away form with 67% wins and remain unbeaten on the road this season (0% losses). Carlisle United sits in 3rd place and holds the home advantage, where they win 64% of matches and achieve a high goal difference (+16). A key factor is York City's advantage in possession (65% vs 54%) and better form in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG vs 2.0 PPG). Similar xG indicators (2.23 for Carlisle at home vs 2.09 for York away) and identical shot conversion (12%) suggest a very balanced contest. Considering the strength of both teams and the fact that York City often draws away (33% of matches), the most probable scenario appears to be a sharing of points, although both a win for the hosts utilizing their home advantage and a victory for the leaders are equally possible.
Carlisle United vs York City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carlisle United played against York City in National League (England). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Carlisle United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. York City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Carlisle United scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 1.11. York City scores 2.54 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Carlisle United's games and 69% of York City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 73%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
York City has the higher season xG average, 2.11 to 1.95 per game. Carlisle United takes 15.8 shots per game, while York City takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Carlisle United leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. York City leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For York City, it is minutes 76-90+ (22 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be an incredibly tight clash between two top teams in the competition. York City, as league leaders, present impressive away form with 67% wins and remain unbeaten on the road this season (0% losses). Carlisle United sits in 3rd place and holds the home advantage, where they win 64% of matches and achieve a high goal difference (+16). A key factor is York City's advantage in possession (65% vs 54%) and better form in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG vs 2.0 PPG). Similar xG indicators (2.23 for Carlisle at home vs 2.09 for York away) and identical shot conversion (12%) suggest a very balanced contest. Considering the strength of both teams and the fact that York City often draws away (33% of matches), the most probable scenario appears to be a sharing of points, although both a win for the hosts utilizing their home advantage and a victory for the leaders are equally possible.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
York City is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Carlisle United · 2.2 pts / game - York City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
York City is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.81 goals / game - Carlisle United · 2.54 goals / game - York City
Carlisle United scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while York City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
York City scores in 92% of games (24 of 26 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - York City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.38 pts / game - York City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
York City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carlisle United
York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.93 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carlisle United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against York City. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs York City?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 0:3 York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs York City?
Carlisle United score 1.81 goals per game on average and York City 2.54. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Carlisle United's matches and 69% of York City's.
What form are Carlisle United and York City in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and York City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs York City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carlisle United vs York City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.