Carolina Core vs Chattanooga FC: match statistics
Carolina Core vs Chattanooga FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carolina Core play Chattanooga FC in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 12 July 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Carolina Core: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Chattanooga FC: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carolina Core scores 1.30 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Chattanooga FC scores 1.84 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carolina Core 65%, Chattanooga FC 68%. Over 2.5: Carolina Core 60%, Chattanooga FC 58%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Chattanooga FC has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.46. Carolina Core: 12.2 shots per match, Chattanooga FC: 13.7.
Match halves
Carolina Core: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80. Chattanooga FC: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). Chattanooga FC: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 0-1-3. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.
Match description
The match looks balanced: Chattanooga FC have superior season metrics (8 wins and 33 goals) versus Carolina Core (3 wins and 21 goals), and in their last 5 matches the visitors scored 12 goals and are unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws), translating to an average of 1.8 points per game versus 1.4 for the home side. Carolina Core benefit from home stability: at home they score 1.5 goals on average, concede 1.25 per match, have xG for 1.63 and xG against 1.63 and 0% of matches without scoring, while Chattanooga concede 2.13 goals on average away and have recorded no clean sheets. However, the visitors generate more high-quality chances: on average 5 shots on target per game versus 4.75 for the hosts, a better conversion rate of 15% compared to Carolina’s 11% and on average 1.88 goals away versus 1.5 for the hosts. Additionally, Carolina have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches with 2 losses, while Chattanooga have 12 goals and 0 losses, which shows the visitors’ attacking advantage despite their defensive issues away. As a result I rate a draw as the most probable outcome and estimate the probability distribution at approximately 30% for Carolina Core, 40% for a draw and 30% for Chattanooga FC.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carolina Core | Chattanooga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carolina Core is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.4 pts / match - Chattanooga FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chattanooga FC is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.84 goals / match - Chattanooga FC
Carolina Core scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Chattanooga FC scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carolina Core
Over / Under — Chattanooga FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chattanooga FC is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.58 pts / match - Chattanooga FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chattanooga FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carolina Core
Chattanooga FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Carolina Core | Liga | Chattanooga FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Carolina Core 0 - 1 - 3 Chattanooga FC. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carolina Core vs Chattanooga FC?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Carolina Core 1:1 Chattanooga FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carolina Core and Chattanooga FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Carolina Core won 0, Chattanooga FC won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs Chattanooga FC?
Carolina Core score 1.30 goals per game on average and Chattanooga FC 1.84. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Carolina Core's matches and 68% of Chattanooga FC's.
What form are Carolina Core and Chattanooga FC in?
Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Chattanooga FC 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs Chattanooga FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.