United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 23 July 2026

Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carolina Core play Chicago Fire II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 01:30.

Current form

Carolina Core: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chicago Fire II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carolina Core scores 1.16 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Chicago Fire II scores 1.56 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carolina Core 68%, Chicago Fire II 67%. Over 2.5: Carolina Core 58%, Chicago Fire II 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Chicago Fire II has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.43. Carolina Core: 12.1 shots per match, Chicago Fire II: 12.4.

Match halves

Carolina Core: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Chicago Fire II: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). Chicago Fire II: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
1.16Goals scored / match1.56
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
1.68Goals conceded / match1.56
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
47%Average possession50%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
4.26Shots on target / match4.11
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.05Shots per match12.39
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
4.26Shots on target4.11
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
9.6%Shot conversion12.6%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
47%Possession50%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
1.43xG for1.49
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
1.72xG against1.51
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

Shooting quality

Carolina Core: BalancedChicago Fire II: Balanced
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Chicago Fire II is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.6 pts / match - Chicago Fire II

Carolina Core
LDWLD
Season result split
16% W37% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-9
0.84 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Chicago Fire II
WDDWL
Season result split
33% W28% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-7
1.28 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chicago Fire II is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.56 goals / match - Chicago Fire II

Chicago Fire II is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.56 goals / match - Chicago Fire II

Carolina Core scoring profile: very strong

Carolina Core scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Chicago Fire II keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).

Chicago Fire II scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire II scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

22Goals scored (season)28
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
32Goals conceded (season)28
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
2.84Average goals in match3.11
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
5Goals scored (last 5)11
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal78%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
37%2 goals50%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
0%3 goals22%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
0%4 goals6%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal78%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
53%2 goals56%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
32%3 goals22%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
5%4 goals0%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time28%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
5%BTTS in both halves17%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
16%Scored in both halves39%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
60%BTTS - last 580%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire II is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.56 pts / match - Chicago Fire II

Carolina Core - half-time state
21% leading32% draw47% trailing
Chicago Fire II - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)1.56
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.89
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.44
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
32%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
63%No goal before half-time39%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
53%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
42%No goal after half-time44%
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II

Carolina Core - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chicago Fire II - second-half results

22% W44% R33% P
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carolina Core - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Chicago Fire II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carolina Core
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
6
16-30
6
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
3
5
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Chicago Fire II
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
2
1
16-30
10
5
31-45
7
8
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carolina Core

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Chicago Fire II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Carolina CoreLigaChicago Fire II
Average goals in match 2.843.22 3.11
Both teams scored 68%61% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%65% 83%
Clean sheets 21%22% 22%
Goal before half-time 84%75% 78%
Goal after half-time 79%84% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Carolina Core 1 - 2 - 0 Chicago Fire II. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Carolina Core
2 : 1
Chicago Fire II
Chicago Fire II
0 : 0
Carolina Core
Carolina Core FC
1 : 1
Chicago Fire Premier FC II

FAQ

When do Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II play?

Carolina Core face Chicago Fire II on 25 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Carolina Core won 1, Chicago Fire II won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II?

Carolina Core score 1.16 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire II 1.56. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Carolina Core's matches and 67% of Chicago Fire II's.

What form are Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II in?

Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chicago Fire II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.