Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carolina Core play Chicago Fire II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 01:30.
Current form
Carolina Core: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chicago Fire II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carolina Core scores 1.16 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Chicago Fire II scores 1.56 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carolina Core 68%, Chicago Fire II 67%. Over 2.5: Carolina Core 58%, Chicago Fire II 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire II has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.43. Carolina Core: 12.1 shots per match, Chicago Fire II: 12.4.
Match halves
Carolina Core: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Chicago Fire II: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). Chicago Fire II: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carolina Core | Chicago Fire II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire II is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.6 pts / match - Chicago Fire II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire II is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.56 goals / match - Chicago Fire II
Chicago Fire II is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Carolina Core · 1.56 goals / match - Chicago Fire II
Carolina Core scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Chicago Fire II keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Chicago Fire II scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carolina Core
Over / Under — Chicago Fire II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire II is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Carolina Core · 1.56 pts / match - Chicago Fire II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chicago Fire II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carolina Core
Chicago Fire II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Carolina Core | Liga | Chicago Fire II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.84 | 3.22 | ▼ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Carolina Core 1 - 2 - 0 Chicago Fire II. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II play?
Carolina Core face Chicago Fire II on 25 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Carolina Core won 1, Chicago Fire II won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II?
Carolina Core score 1.16 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire II 1.56. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Carolina Core's matches and 67% of Chicago Fire II's.
What form are Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II in?
Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chicago Fire II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


