Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy: match statistics
Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carolina Core played against Crown Legacy in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on June 14, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Carolina Core has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Crown Legacy has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Carolina Core scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 1.92. Crown Legacy scores 2.85 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 77% of Carolina Core's games and 62% of Crown Legacy's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 77%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Crown Legacy has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.35 per game. Carolina Core takes 11.4 shots per game, while Crown Legacy takes 14.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Carolina Core leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Crown Legacy leads at halftime in 54% and scores 1.31 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carolina Core's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Crown Legacy, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crown Legacy are the match favorites: they sit 2nd in the table versus Carolina Core in 28th and have 37 goals this season compared to the hosts' 15. Away, Crown average 3.0 goals per game with 5.83 shots on target and 24% conversion, while Carolina at home average 1.5 goals per game, 4.5 shots on target and 11% conversion, giving the visitors a clear attacking efficiency edge. In the last 5 matches Crown have scored 12 goals and average 1.6 points per game (2W/2D/1L), whereas Carolina have 5 goals and 0.8 points per game (1W/1D/3L), so the visitors are in better and more consistent form. Neither side keep clean sheets (CS% 0) and both always score (FTS% 0), with average total goals of 3.17 for the hosts and 5.0 for the visitors, so an open game is expected; at the same time Carolina concede 1.67 goals at home on average and Crown concede 2.0 away, indicating the visitors' advantage is driven mainly by offensive quality rather than superior defense. Considering the higher xG for the visitors 1.77 versus 1.54 for the hosts and the visitors' positive away goal difference (GD +6 vs hosts -1), I predict a Crown Legacy win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is that Crown Legacy have 100% of away matches with both teams scoring; additionally they have scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (avg. 2.4 per game). Carolina Core at home have only 29% BTTS and as many as 71% clean sheets, which seasonally indicates a strong tendency for the home side to keep No Goal results. However, in the last 5 matches the hosts have 60% BTTS and concede on average 1.8 goals per game, while the visitors have 80% BTTS in their last 5, showing an increasing tendency for both teams to score. xG and efficiency comparison shows xG 1.82 (home) vs 1.77 (away), xG against 1.22 (home) vs 1.67 (away), on average 5.57 vs 5.83 shots on target and conversion Crown Legacy 24% versus 16% for the home side, which raises the probability of an away goal. Considering Crown Legacy’s 100% away BTTS, support from the last 5 matches (60% and 80%) and league BTTS = 61%, the "Yes" scenario is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams produce a high number of goals: Carolina Core averages 2.71 goals per game, Crown Legacy 3.00, and the league records 3.21 goals per game; based on xG (1.82 for the home side, 1.77 for the visitors) I estimate 1.75 goals for the home team and 1.50 for the visitors, totaling 3.25. Seasonal Over percentages confirm the tendency – Over 1.5 occurs for the home side in 71% of matches and for the visitors in 100%, while Over 2.5 is 57% and 100% respectively, therefore I assign Over 1.5 at 92% and Over 2.5 at 82%. Crown Legacy has a high shot conversion rate (24% vs 16% for Carolina Core) and scores an average of 3.0 goals per game, while the hosts take more shots (17.0 vs 12.5), increasing the probability of additional goals. Although in one dataset the home team has 71% clean sheets, the visitors have scored 37 goals this season and averaged 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches, so the strongest signal is Over 2.5. I rate Over 3.5 as moderately likely (~48% Over vs 52% Under), because the expected total of 3.25 is close to the 3.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal: Carolina Core at home wins 86% of matches, averages 2.71 goals and concedes only 0.57 per game, and leads at the break in 57% of fixtures with an average of 1.29 goals by halftime. Crown Legacy away averages 3.00 goals and has 100% of games with both teams scoring and 1.83 goals by halftime, but concedes an average of 2.00 goals and has no clean sheets (0%), which reduces their chances of maintaining a lead. From a chances-quality perspective the hosts have an xG of 1.82 versus the visitors’ xG against of 1.67 and a seasonal 71% clean sheet rate at home, as well as 2.71 points per game versus the visitors’ 1.5 points, all favoring retaining the lead and securing the win. I nevertheless acknowledge some risk given the last 5 matches, where the hosts led at halftime in only 20% of cases while the visitors did so in 60%, therefore I assign the 1/1 outcome a 34% confidence, allocating the remaining probability across draws and visitor turnarounds.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carolina Core | Crown Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Crown Legacy is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Carolina Core · 1.6 pts / game - Crown Legacy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crown Legacy is 148% better for: goals scored per game.
1.15 goals / game - Carolina Core · 2.85 goals / game - Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - Carolina Core · 1.23 goals / game - Crown Legacy
Carolina Core scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Crown Legacy keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 meczów).
Crown Legacy scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 meczów), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carolina Core
Over / Under - Crown Legacy
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crown Legacy is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / game - Carolina Core · 1.92 pts / game - Crown Legacy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 8%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Crown Legacy - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carolina Core
Crown Legacy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Carolina Core | Liga | Crown Legacy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.08 | 3.24 | ▲ 4.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 21% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carolina Core's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Crown Legacy. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Carolina Core 2:0 Crown Legacy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carolina Core and Crown Legacy?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Carolina Core won 1, Crown Legacy won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy?
Carolina Core score 1.15 goals per game on average and Crown Legacy 2.85. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Carolina Core's matches and 62% of Crown Legacy's.
What form are Carolina Core and Crown Legacy in?
Over the last 5 games Carolina Core have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Crown Legacy 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy?
The statistical background for Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.