Carrarese vs Catanzaro: match statistics
Catanzaro presents decidedly better form, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five encounters, while Carrarese obtained just 0.4 points. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches and failed to score in as many as 54% of home games. Catanzaro sits in 5th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories, and in the last five matches, they scored 11 goals while conceding only 3. Although the visitors have a slightly weaker away record (38% wins), their current form (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and higher scoring efficiency (11% conversion rate vs 9% for the hosts) give them the edge. Considering all statistics, I expect a Catanzaro victory or possibly a draw, though an away win is the most probable scenario.
Carrarese vs Catanzaro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carrarese played against Catanzaro in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Carrarese has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Catanzaro has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Carrarese scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.37. Catanzaro scores 1.44 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Carrarese's games and 56% of Catanzaro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrarese has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.39 per game. Carrarese takes 12.8 shots per game, while Catanzaro takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Carrarese leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Catanzaro leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carrarese's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Catanzaro, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catanzaro presents decidedly better form, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five encounters, while Carrarese obtained just 0.4 points. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches and failed to score in as many as 54% of home games. Catanzaro sits in 5th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories, and in the last five matches, they scored 11 goals while conceding only 3. Although the visitors have a slightly weaker away record (38% wins), their current form (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and higher scoring efficiency (11% conversion rate vs 9% for the hosts) give them the edge. Considering all statistics, I expect a Catanzaro victory or possibly a draw, though an away win is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Catanzaro is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Carrarese · 2.6 pts / game - Catanzaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Carrarese · 1.44 goals / game - Catanzaro
Catanzaro is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.37 goals / game - Carrarese · 1.07 goals / game - Catanzaro
Carrarese scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
Catanzaro scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Catanzaro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catanzaro is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Carrarese · 1.33 pts / game - Catanzaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carrarese
Catanzaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.56 | 2.50 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carrarese's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Catanzaro. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Catanzaro?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 3:3 Catanzaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Catanzaro?
Carrarese score 1.19 goals per game on average and Catanzaro 1.44. The Serie B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Carrarese's matches and 56% of Catanzaro's.
What form are Carrarese and Catanzaro in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Catanzaro 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Catanzaro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.