Carrarese vs Cesena: match statistics
Carrarese vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese play Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cesena: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.18 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 47%, Cesena 61%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 50%, Cesena 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cesena has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Carrarese: 13.3 shots per match, Cesena: 13.1.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84. Cesena: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Carrarese holds a clear advantage across key metrics and I project a home win. At home they average 1.44 goals per game, have xG 1.53 and 4.44 shots on target per match; Cesena away register 0.94 goals, xG 1.28 and 3.44 shots on target, which gives the hosts roughly a 0.5-goal and 0.25-xG advantage. Defensively Carrarese concedes 0.94 goals at home versus Cesena’s 1.5 conceded away, they keep 50% clean sheets compared to the visitors’ 11% and boast a home goal difference of +9 while Cesena have -10 on the road. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) with PPG 1.4, while Cesena scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) with PPG 1.0, confirming better form for the hosts. Considering higher finishing efficiency (10% vs 8% conversion), superior xG and defensive stability, but also Carrarese’s high share of home draws (39%), I assess the probabilities as 55% home win, 28% draw and 17% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.18 goals / match - Cesena
Carrarese is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.47 goals / match - Cesena
Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carrarese
Over / Under — Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.16 pts / match - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 0 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:0 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Cesena?
Carrarese score 1.24 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Carrarese's matches and 61% of Cesena's.
What form are Carrarese and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cesena 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrarese vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.