Carrarese vs Spezia: match statistics
Carrarese vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese play Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Spezia scores 1.13 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 47%, Spezia 58%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 50%, Spezia 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.31. Carrarese: 13.3 shots per match, Spezia: 11.4.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84. Spezia: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). Spezia: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Carrarese is the favorite in this matchup: they sit 9th in the table and record a 38% win rate at home, while Spezia are 18th and have only a 19% win rate on the road. The hosts’ defence looks superior — Carrarese concede 0.88 goals per home game on average and keep 56% clean sheets, whereas Spezia concede 1.56 goals away and manage just 19% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 5 goals versus 11 conceded by the visitors. In attack Carrarese generate higher-quality chances: average xG at home is 1.55 with 14.19 shots and 4.44 on target, translating to 1.31 goals per game, while Spezia have xG 1.28, 11.25 shots and 1.00 goals away. Form confirms the home advantage — Carrarese scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.6 points per game in that period, while Spezia have 8 goals and only 1.0 point per game; however the risk of a draw remains material, as the hosts record 38% draws at home and fail to score in 50% of home matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spezia is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Carrarese · 1 pts / match - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.13 goals / match - Spezia
Carrarese is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.55 goals / match - Spezia
Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Spezia scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carrarese
Over / Under — Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrarese is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Carrarese · 0.87 pts / match - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 1 - 0 - 0 Spezia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 3:1 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Spezia?
Carrarese score 1.24 goals per game on average and Spezia 1.13. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Carrarese's matches and 58% of Spezia's.
What form are Carrarese and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Spezia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Spezia?
The statistical background for Carrarese vs Spezia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.