Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match compared to 1.6 points for Carrick Rangers. The hosts have a very weak home record with just 18% wins and a staggering 64% losses, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match at home. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (5th place vs 11th place) and have won four of their last five meetings, showing solid defense with just two goals conceded in that period. Dungannon also has the advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and better shooting efficiency (11% vs 9%). Despite difficulties on the road (50% losses), current form and qualitative advantage speak for an away victory, although Carrick's solid defense (27% clean sheets) may make this a tight match.
Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carrick Rangers played against Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Carrick Rangers has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Dungannon Swifts has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Carrick Rangers scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.74. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.29 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Carrick Rangers's games and 33% of Dungannon Swifts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 46%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dungannon Swifts has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.33 per game. Carrick Rangers takes 10.0 shots per game, while Dungannon Swifts takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Dungannon Swifts leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carrick Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Dungannon Swifts, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dungannon Swifts presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match compared to 1.6 points for Carrick Rangers. The hosts have a very weak home record with just 18% wins and a staggering 64% losses, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match at home. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (5th place vs 11th place) and have won four of their last five meetings, showing solid defense with just two goals conceded in that period. Dungannon also has the advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and better shooting efficiency (11% vs 9%). Despite difficulties on the road (50% losses), current form and qualitative advantage speak for an away victory, although Carrick's solid defense (27% clean sheets) may make this a tight match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dungannon Swifts is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 2.4 pts / game - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dungannon Swifts is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.29 goals / game - Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.42 goals / game - Dungannon Swifts
Carrick Rangers scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dungannon Swifts is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.29 pts / game - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.96 | 2.76 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Carrick Rangers's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Dungannon Swifts. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 5:1 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Dungannon Swifts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?
Carrick Rangers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.29. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 33% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?
The statistical background for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.