Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon: match statistics
Carrick Rangers are displaying decidedly better form than Glenavon, confirmed by a streak of four wins in their last five matches and a high points-per-match ratio (2.4 PPG). Glenavon has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), losing all of their last thirteen away fixtures, which is an alarming sign. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per match at home, while the visitors manage just 0.54 goals away and fail to score in 54% of matches. The -25 goal difference in Glenavon's away games compared to Carrick Rangers' -6 at home further highlights the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a Carrick Rangers victory is the most probable scenario, although the hosts' weaker defense (1.85 goals conceded per match) leaves a slight chance for surprises.
Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carrick Rangers played against Glenavon in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on February 10, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Carrick Rangers has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Glenavon has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Carrick Rangers scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.65. Glenavon scores 0.81 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Carrick Rangers's games and 50% of Glenavon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 54%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.14 per game. Carrick Rangers takes 10.3 shots per game, while Glenavon takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Glenavon leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carrick Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). For Glenavon, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers are displaying decidedly better form than Glenavon, confirmed by a streak of four wins in their last five matches and a high points-per-match ratio (2.4 PPG). Glenavon has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), losing all of their last thirteen away fixtures, which is an alarming sign. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per match at home, while the visitors manage just 0.54 goals away and fail to score in 54% of matches. The -25 goal difference in Glenavon's away games compared to Carrick Rangers' -6 at home further highlights the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a Carrick Rangers victory is the most probable scenario, although the hosts' weaker defense (1.85 goals conceded per match) leaves a slight chance for surprises.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carrick Rangers is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 0.6 pts / game - Glenavon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 85% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 0.81 goals / game - Glenavon
Carrick Rangers is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.65 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 2 goals / game - Glenavon
Carrick Rangers scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 26 meczów).
Glenavon scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
Over / Under - Glenavon
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 0.65 pts / game - Glenavon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carrick Rangers
Glenavon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.15 | 2.80 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Carrick Rangers's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Glenavon. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 2:1 Glenavon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Glenavon won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon?
Carrick Rangers score 1.50 goals per game on average and Glenavon 0.81. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 50% of Glenavon's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Glenavon in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Glenavon 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.