Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Alberto PintoData current as of October 16, 2026

Casertana vs Catania: match statistics

Casertana crest
Casertana
1 : 2half-time 0:1
Catania crest
Catania

Casertana vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Casertana played against Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on September 27, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Casertana has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Catania has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Casertana scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.33. Catania scores 1.67 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Casertana's games and 50% of Catania's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.55 per game. Casertana takes 13.3 shots per game, while Catania takes 11.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Casertana leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Catania leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Casertana's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Catania, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group C games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Casertana remain unbeaten this season, recording 3 wins and 3 draws, while in their last five matches they have collected 11 points from 3 victories and 2 draws. Catania have won only 2 of their 6 league matches and suffered 2 defeats in their last five appearances, averaging 1.4 points per game compared with Casertana’s 2.2. At home, the hosts create slightly more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.64 and 15 shots per match, while Catania have failed to score in as many as 50% of their away games. Both teams average 2 goals in their respective conditions, but the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede 2 goals per away match, strengthening the case for a narrow Casertana victory. However, the hosts’ high home draw rate of 67% means that a share of the points remains a realistic alternative.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive: Casertana has landed BTTS in 60% of its last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Catania has averaged 1.8 goals in its last five games, while its xG stands at a high 1.90, which should be enough to break through the hosts’ defense, allowing 1.18 xG. The hosts create an average of 1.50 xG, while Catania has kept no clean sheets all season and has conceded an average of 2.0 goals. Catania’s BTTS rate over its last five matches is only 40%, but its defense conceded 1.4 goals per game during this period, making a goal for each side the more likely outcome. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the two-goal threshold was surpassed in 75% of Casertana’s matches and in as many as 100% of Catania’s away matches. Catania score an average of 2.0 goals away from home, but also concede 2.0, having kept no clean sheets, which clearly favors an open game. In their last five appearances, Casertana averaged 1.6 goals per match and Catania 1.8, with the total-goals average standing at 2.6 and 3.2 respectively in their matches. Their attacking potential is also supported by the xG figures: 1.50 for the home side and 1.64 for the visitors. Therefore, the projected total of 2.78 goals gives a clear edge to the Over 1.5 line. The Over 2.5 line also looks positive, but its margin is noticeably smaller than for Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Casertana win, as the hosts have been level at the break in 40% of their last five matches and conceded only 0.4 goals per game in those first halves. Catania have averaged 0.8 goals before the break in their last five outings, but went into half-time trailing in as many as 40% of those matches. After the interval, Casertana present a clearly stronger profile: they score 1.25 goals and concede just 0.25 at home, while Catania concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home after the break and have lost 100% of their second halves. The hosts are also unbeaten in their last five league matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, whereas Catania have suffered 2 defeats during that period. Despite similar xG figures—1.50 for Casertana compared with 1.64 for Catania—the hosts’ advantage in the closing stages of the match supports the X/1 scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

53Possession (%)47
CasertanaCatania
12Shots18
CasertanaCatania
6Shots on target6
CasertanaCatania
1.65xG2.07
CasertanaCatania
3Corners8
CasertanaCatania
65Dangerous attacks71
CasertanaCatania
19Fouls18
CasertanaCatania
3Cards2
CasertanaCatania

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.83Goals scored / game1.67
CasertanaCatania
1.33Goals allowed / game1.33
CasertanaCatania
52%Average possession56%
CasertanaCatania
4.5Shots on target / game4.67
CasertanaCatania

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.33Shots per game11.67
CasertanaCatania
4.5Shots on target4.67
CasertanaCatania
13.8%Shot conversion14.3%
CasertanaCatania
52%Possession56%
CasertanaCatania
1.55xG for1.55
CasertanaCatania
1.29xG against1.11
CasertanaCatania

Shooting quality

Casertana: Efficient finishingCatania: Efficient finishing
CasertanaCatania
Accuracy (shots on target)34%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Casertana is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Casertana · 1.4 pts / game - Catania

Casertana
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Catania
LWLWD
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Casertana is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

1.83 goals / game - Casertana · 1.67 goals / game - Catania

Casertana scoring profile: very strong

Casertana scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Catania scoring profile: strong

Catania scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

11Goals scored (season)10
CasertanaCatania
8Goals conceded (season)8
CasertanaCatania
3.17Average goals per game3
CasertanaCatania
8Goals scored (last 5)9
CasertanaCatania
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
CasertanaCatania

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
CasertanaCatania
67%2 goals33%
CasertanaCatania
33%3 goals33%
CasertanaCatania
0%4 goals33%
CasertanaCatania

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
CasertanaCatania
50%2 goals67%
CasertanaCatania
17%3 goals0%
CasertanaCatania
0%4 goals0%
CasertanaCatania

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
CasertanaCatania
17%BTTS in both halves0%
CasertanaCatania
33%Scored in both halves33%
CasertanaCatania

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CasertanaCatania
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CasertanaCatania
60%BTTS - last 540%
CasertanaCatania

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
CasertanaCatania
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CasertanaCatania
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
CasertanaCatania

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
CasertanaCatania
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
CasertanaCatania
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
CasertanaCatania

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Casertana is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / game - Casertana · 1.17 pts / game - Catania

Casertana - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing
Catania - half-time state
33% leading17% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per game (1st half)1.17
CasertanaCatania
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.67
CasertanaCatania
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
CasertanaCatania
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.33
CasertanaCatania
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
CasertanaCatania
50%No goal before half-time67%
CasertanaCatania

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.33
CasertanaCatania
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
CasertanaCatania
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
CasertanaCatania
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1.67
CasertanaCatania
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CasertanaCatania
33%No goal after half-time33%
CasertanaCatania

Casertana - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Catania - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Casertana - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Catania - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Casertana
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Catania
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Casertana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Catania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CasertanaLigaCatania
Average goals per game▲ 3.172.89▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%56%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%75%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%72%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CataniaYellow cardAndrea Vallocchia
  2. CataniaYellow cardMarco Perrotta
  3. CasertanaYellow cardFranco Orlando Vezzoni
  4. CataniaSubstitutionOn: Fabrizio CaligaraOff: Nicolò Cavuoti
  5. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Gabriel HeninOff: Franco Orlando Vezzoni
  6. CasertanaYellow cardGiulio Favale
  7. CasertanaGoalDavide Castelli
  8. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Stefano GirelliOff: Enrico Piovanello
  9. CataniaSubstitutionOn: Eddy CabiancaOff: Giovanni Bruzzaniti
  10. CasertanaYellow cardStefano Girelli
  11. CataniaGoalMario IerardiAssist: Roberto Insigne

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Casertana's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Catania. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Catania
0 : 0
Casertana
Casertana
2 : 2
Catania

FAQ

What was the result of Casertana vs Catania?

The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 1:2 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Casertana and Catania?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0, Catania won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Catania?

Casertana score 1.83 goals per game on average and Catania 1.67. The Serie C Group C average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Casertana's matches and 50% of Catania's.

What form are Casertana and Catania in?

Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Catania 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Catania?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.