Casertana vs Picerno: match statistics
Casertana shows solid form in home matches, recording a 54% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.69 goals per home game, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 3.92 shots on target. Picerno performs significantly worse in away matches – with just a 29% win rate, a negative goal difference (-9), and a 50% loss rate on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.79 goals per away match, which, combined with weaker offensive efficiency (1.14 goals) and a lower xG (1.01), puts them in an unfavorable position. Although Picerno shows better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG), their away struggles and Casertana's home advantage point to a home win. A draw remains a realistic option due to the relatively balanced xG values of both teams and Casertana's history of draws (31% at home).
Casertana vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Casertana played against Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Casertana has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Picerno has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Casertana scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.26. Picerno scores 1.22 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Casertana's games and 63% of Picerno's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 59%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Casertana has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.15 per game. Casertana takes 10.8 shots per game, while Picerno takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Casertana leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Picerno leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Casertana's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Picerno, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group C games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Casertana shows solid form in home matches, recording a 54% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.69 goals per home game, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 3.92 shots on target. Picerno performs significantly worse in away matches – with just a 29% win rate, a negative goal difference (-9), and a 50% loss rate on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.79 goals per away match, which, combined with weaker offensive efficiency (1.14 goals) and a lower xG (1.01), puts them in an unfavorable position. Although Picerno shows better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG), their away struggles and Casertana's home advantage point to a home win. A draw remains a realistic option due to the relatively balanced xG values of both teams and Casertana's history of draws (31% at home).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Casertana | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Picerno is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Casertana · 2 pts / game - Picerno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Casertana · 1.22 goals / game - Picerno
Casertana is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.26 goals / game - Casertana · 1.59 goals / game - Picerno
Casertana scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).
Picerno scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casertana
Over / Under - Picerno
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Casertana · 1.48 pts / game - Picerno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 26%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Casertana
Picerno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Casertana | Liga | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.74 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Casertana's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Picerno. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Casertana vs Picerno?
The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 2:1 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Picerno?
Casertana score 1.48 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.22. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Casertana's matches and 63% of Picerno's.
What form are Casertana and Picerno in?
Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Picerno 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Picerno?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casertana vs Picerno: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.