Casertana vs Salernitana: match statistics
Casertana presents impressive home form with 57% wins and a positive goal difference of +7 at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.71 goals per home match, which, combined with a solid 15% conversion rate, gives them an offensive edge. Salernitana, despite a better overall record, shows weaker form in the last five matches (just 1 point per game) and a negative away goal difference of -1. The visitors score an average of only 1.21 goals away with a higher rate of missed chances. Considering Casertana's home advantage, current form, and xG statistics (1.41 for hosts vs 1.48 for visitors away), I expect a tough, balanced match with a slight advantage for the hosts. Recent form suggests a possible draw, but the home field factor should tip the scales for Casertana.
Casertana vs Salernitana: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Casertana played against Salernitana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on March 5, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Casertana has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Salernitana has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Casertana scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.34. Salernitana scores 1.24 and allows 1.03. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Casertana's games and 55% of Salernitana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 45%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Salernitana has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.38 per game. Casertana takes 10.8 shots per game, while Salernitana takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Casertana leads at halftime in 34% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Salernitana leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Casertana's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Salernitana, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group C games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Casertana presents impressive home form with 57% wins and a positive goal difference of +7 at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.71 goals per home match, which, combined with a solid 15% conversion rate, gives them an offensive edge. Salernitana, despite a better overall record, shows weaker form in the last five matches (just 1 point per game) and a negative away goal difference of -1. The visitors score an average of only 1.21 goals away with a higher rate of missed chances. Considering Casertana's home advantage, current form, and xG statistics (1.41 for hosts vs 1.48 for visitors away), I expect a tough, balanced match with a slight advantage for the hosts. Recent form suggests a possible draw, but the home field factor should tip the scales for Casertana.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Casertana | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Casertana is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Casertana · 1 pts / game - Salernitana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Casertana · 1.24 goals / game - Salernitana
Salernitana is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.34 goals / game - Casertana · 1.03 goals / game - Salernitana
Casertana scores in 79% of games (23 of 29 meczów), while Salernitana keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 meczów).
Salernitana scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Casertana
Over / Under - Salernitana
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / game - Casertana · 1.31 pts / game - Salernitana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Salernitana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Casertana
Salernitana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Casertana | Liga | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.79 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 65% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Casertana's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Salernitana. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Casertana vs Salernitana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Casertana 1:0 Salernitana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casertana vs Salernitana?
Casertana score 1.45 goals per game on average and Salernitana 1.24. The Serie C Group C average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Casertana's matches and 55% of Salernitana's.
What form are Casertana and Salernitana in?
Over the last 5 games Casertana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Salernitana 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casertana vs Salernitana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casertana vs Salernitana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.