Catanzaro vs Modena: match statistics
Catanzaro vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Catanzaro play Modena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 14 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Catanzaro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Catanzaro scores 1.63 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Modena scores 1.26 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Catanzaro 60%, Modena 49%. Over 2.5: Catanzaro 53%, Modena 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.41. Catanzaro: 13.0 shots per match, Modena: 15.2.
Match halves
Catanzaro: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.88. Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Catanzaro: 76-90+ (15 goals). Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast a Catanzaro win. The hosts have scored 51 goals this season and average 1.63 goals per home match with a conversion rate of 12%, whereas Modena have 44 goals and average 1.19 goals on the road with a 7% conversion. Modena defend solidly — they've conceded 29 goals this season and concede an average of 0.94 goals away; in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 5 goals and Catanzaro conceded 8. The hosts’ key advantage is a low share of home matches without a goal (13% vs 31% for Modena away) and a strong home record: 50% wins and only 6% losses with a +10 home goal difference. Considering the higher efficiency (12% vs 7%), lower risk of failing to score and superior home profile, I give Catanzaro the greater probability, although Modena’s higher away xG (1.84 vs 1.44) indicates the visitors can generate chances.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Catanzaro | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catanzaro is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Catanzaro · 0.6 pts / match - Modena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Catanzaro · 1.26 goals / match - Modena
Modena is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Catanzaro · 0.95 goals / match - Modena
Catanzaro scores in 81% of matches (35 of 43 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 28% (12 of 43 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Catanzaro
Over / Under — Modena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catanzaro is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Catanzaro · 1.46 pts / match - Modena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Catanzaro
Modena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Catanzaro | Liga | Modena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | • 49% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Catanzaro 1 - 0 - 0 Modena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Catanzaro vs Modena?
The Serie B match finished Catanzaro 2:2 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Catanzaro vs Modena?
Catanzaro score 1.63 goals per game on average and Modena 1.26. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Catanzaro's matches and 49% of Modena's.
What form are Catanzaro and Modena in?
Over the last 5 games Catanzaro have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Modena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catanzaro vs Modena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Catanzaro vs Modena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.