CD El Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Cumbayá has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

CD El Nacional scores 0.70 goals per game and allows 1.44. Cumbayá scores 1.15 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.91 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of CD El Nacional's games and 42% of Cumbayá's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 42%, compared with league averages of 35% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

CD El Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.22 per game. CD El Nacional takes 10.3 shots per game, while Cumbayá takes 8.5.

First-half and second-half trends

CD El Nacional leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Cumbayá leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

CD El Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Cumbayá, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera Categoría Serie B games average 1.91 goals. Both teams score in 35% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.59Points per game1.15

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0.7Goals scored / game1.15

CD El NacionalCumbayá

1.44Goals allowed / game1

CD El NacionalCumbayá

1.36xG for1.22

CD El NacionalCumbayá

46%Average possession49%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

3.7Shots on target / game3.5

CD El NacionalCumbayá

15%Clean sheets38%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

48%Both teams scored42%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.3Shots per game8.46

CD El NacionalCumbayá

3.7Shots on target3.5

CD El NacionalCumbayá

6.8%Shot conversion13.6%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

46%Possession49%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

1.36xG for1.22

CD El NacionalCumbayá

1.56xG against1.1

CD El NacionalCumbayá

Shooting quality

CD El Nacional: BalancedCumbayá: Efficient finishing

	CD El Nacional	Cumbayá
Accuracy (shots on target)	36%	41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.13	0.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.19	0.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

CD El Nacional

DLLWL

Season result split

11% W26% D63% L

Season (W-D-L)

3-7-17

0.59 pts / game · goal difference -20

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-1-3

0.80 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

2-4-7

Last 5 at home

2-1-2

DWLLW

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Cumbayá

LDLLW

Season result split

23% W46% D31% L

Season (W-D-L)

6-12-8

1.15 pts / game · goal difference +4

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-1-3

0.80 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

3-4-6

Last 5 away

1-2-2

DDLLW

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cumbayá is 64% better for: goals scored per game.

0.7 goals / game - CD El Nacional · 1.15 goals / game - Cumbayá

Cumbayá is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.44 goals / game - CD El Nacional · 1 goals / game - Cumbayá

CD El Nacional scoring profile: mixed

CD El Nacional scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 games), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 games).

Cumbayá scoring profile: strong

Cumbayá scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 games), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 games).

19Goals scored (season)30

CD El NacionalCumbayá

39Goals conceded (season)26

CD El NacionalCumbayá

2.15Average goals per game2.15

CD El NacionalCumbayá

4Goals scored (last 5)8

CD El NacionalCumbayá

7Goals conceded (last 5)7

CD El NacionalCumbayá

CD El Nacional

15%

Clean sheets4 of 27 games

44%

No goal12 of 27 games

Cumbayá

38%

Clean sheets10 of 26 games

42%

No goal11 of 26 games

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal58%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

7%2 goals23%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

7%3 goals15%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0%4 goals8%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal62%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

41%2 goals27%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

15%3 goals12%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

4%4 goals0%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%

CD El Nacional - BTTS13 of 27 games

42%

Cumbayá - BTTS11 of 26 games

35%

League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time8%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0%BTTS in both halves4%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

7%Scored in both halves15%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

20%BTTS - last 540%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

93%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)77%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

67%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)58%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

41%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)42%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

11%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)15%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

4%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)8%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

Over / Under - CD El Nacional

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 93%Under 7%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 41%Under 59%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 11%Under 89%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 4%Under 96%

Over / Under - Cumbayá

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 77%Under 23%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 58%Under 42%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 42%Under 58%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 15%Under 85%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 8%Under 92%

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time42%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

22%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

7%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

26%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

4%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cumbayá is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.74 pts / game - CD El Nacional · 1.5 pts / game - Cumbayá

CD El Nacional - half-time state

15% leading30% draw56% trailing

Cumbayá - half-time state

31% leading58% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.74Points per game (1st half)1.5

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0.26Goals scored (1st half)0.62

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.27

CD El NacionalCumbayá

1.07Average goals (1st half)0.88

CD El NacionalCumbayá

41%Clean sheet before half-time81%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

74%No goal before half-time69%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per game (2nd half)1.04

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.5

CD El NacionalCumbayá

0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65

CD El NacionalCumbayá

1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.15

CD El NacionalCumbayá

41%Clean sheet after half-time54%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

63%No goal after half-time62%

CD El NacionalCumbayá

CD El Nacional - second-half results

22% W37% D41% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-15

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-5

Goal difference (2nd half)

0.74

PPG before half-time

Lead holding73%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cumbayá - second-half results

19% W46% D35% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-4

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.50

PPG before half-time

Lead holding74%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

CD El Nacional - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	0.80	1.20
Goals scored / game	0.2	0.6
Goals allowed / game	0.6	0.8
Average goals per game	0.8	1.4
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	0%	40%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	40%	40%
No goal	80%	60%
Goal difference	-2	-1

Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

Cumbayá - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	1.00
Goals scored / game	1.0	0.6
Goals allowed / game	0.6	0.8
Average goals per game	1.6	1.4
1 goal	40%	60%
2 goals	40%	40%
3 goals	40%	40%
Clean sheet	80%	40%
No goal	80%	60%
Goal difference	+2	-1

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

CD El Nacional

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cumbayá

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.15

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

0.8 : 1.3

Estimated goal split

home : away

112%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

45%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-7%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

32%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

18%

0:0 risk

about 1 in 6 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

CD El Nacional

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.20

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.54

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+0.5 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.66

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.12

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

61%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

187%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.21

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.2

Late goals

16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.

16%

Cumbayá

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.12

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.03

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-14.5 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.07

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.10

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

149%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

88%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.35

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

-0.1

Late goals

23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.

23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).

Teams vs league

	CD El Nacional	Liga	Cumbayá
Average goals per game	▲ 2.15	1.91	▲ 2.15
Both teams scored	▲ 48%	35%	▲ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 41%	32%	▲ 42%
Clean sheets	▼ 15%	42%	▼ 38%
Goal before half-time	▲ 74%	56%	▼ 42%
Goal after half-time	▲ 78%	59%	▲ 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.91

Average goals per game

35%

Both teams scored

32%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

42%

Clean sheets

1.14

Home goals / game

0.77

Away goals / game

+48%

Home attack advantage

+32%

Home defensive advantage

+23%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

56%

1 goal

22%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

59%

1 goal

26%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from CD El Nacional's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Cumbayá. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do CD El Nacional and Cumbayá play?

CD El Nacional face Cumbayá on September 26, 2026 in Primera Categoría Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CD El Nacional and Cumbayá?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches CD El Nacional won 0, Cumbayá won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá?

CD El Nacional score 0.70 goals per game on average and Cumbayá 1.15. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 48% of CD El Nacional's matches and 42% of Cumbayá's.

What form are CD El Nacional and Cumbayá in?

Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cumbayá 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.