CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: match statistics
CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD El Nacional played against Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
CD El Nacional has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CD El Nacional scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores 0.50 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of CD El Nacional's games and 0% of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors has the higher season xG average, 1.11 to 1.07 per game. CD El Nacional takes 8.0 shots per game, while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
CD El Nacional leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD El Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). For Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera Categoría Serie B games average 2.13 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2): Deportivo Cuenca Juniors hold a clear advantage in key metrics. Away, the visitors average 12 shots and 3 on target per match versus CD El Nacional’s 6 shots and 1 on target, with the visitors’ shot conversion around 8% compared to 0% for the hosts, translating to an average of 1.0 goals per away match vs 0.0 goals at home for El Nacional (FTS 100%). Defensively the edge is with the visitors: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors concede 0.0 goals on average away and keep 100% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 1.0 goals at home on average and have shipped 11 goals in their last 5 matches. The quality gap is also visible in xG — hosts have average xG for 0.81 and xG against 1.84 at home — and in recent form points: 1.6 points per match for the visitors in the last 5 games vs 0.6 for the hosts; therefore I assess chances at 70% for the visitors, 20% for a draw and 10% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally both teams have BTTS at 0% and the home team has 100% clean sheets, while the league records only 33% BTTS and 75% clean sheets, which strongly weighs against BTTS in this match. However, in the last 5 fixtures the home side has conceded 11 goals (2.2 per match) and has xG against of 2.14, whereas the visitors have average offensive xG of 1.5 over the last 5, indicating realistic chances for the away side to score. Both teams scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches (0.8 per match) and each has 40% BTTS in the last 5, so BTTS signals are moderate rather than strong. Overall I weigh the dominant influence of season and league metrics against BTTS and tip 'No' with 70% probability versus 30% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and form analysis from the last 5 matches yields combined expected goals of approximately 2.93: 1.11 for CD El Nacional and 1.82 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (calculated as (1.23+0.98)/2 and (1.50+2.14)/2). The hosts generate on average 1.23 xG but concede 2.14 xG and have scored 4 goals in the last 5 (avg. 0.8), while the visitors have 1.50 xG, 0.98 xG against and also 4 goals in the last 5. Seasonal indicators are contradictory — both teams have seasonUnder15Percentage 100% with the league average at 2.33 goals per match — therefore I give greater weight to the last 5 matches and xG. As a result the strongest signal is the Over line at 1.5: the projected 2.93 goals gives a high probability for Over 1.5 (I estimate 90%) and a moderate edge for Over 2.5 (approx. 68%). Over 3.5 is less likely (approx. 26%), so I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half data clearly favor the visitors: they lead at the break in 100% of their matches and average 1.0 goals by half-time, while the hosts have 0.0 goals at the break. This season the away team averages 3.0 points per match with a 100% win rate, whereas the hosts have a 0.0% win rate and 100% draws, supporting a final advantage for the visitors. The hosts have a higher xG (1.11 vs 0.0) but average 9 shots to the visitors' 12, with 3 on target for both sides; the hosts’ conversion rate is 0% versus the visitors’ 8%, so they create chances but fail to convert them. In the last five matches the hosts averaged 0.2 first-half goals compared to 0.6 for the visitors, and the win rate over the last five is 20% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors, which further reinforces the scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and winning on Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD El Nacional | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD El Nacional scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 meczów).
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD El Nacional
Over / Under - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - CD El Nacional · 2 pts / game - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD El Nacional
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| CD El Nacional | Liga | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.13 | ▼ 0.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▼ 0% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished CD El Nacional 1:2 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
CD El Nacional score 0.50 goals per game on average and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0.50. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CD El Nacional's matches and 0% of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors's.
What form are CD El Nacional and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
The statistical background for CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


