CD El Nacional has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Gualaceo SC has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

CD El Nacional scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.59. Gualaceo SC scores 1.03 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 53% of CD El Nacional's games and 29% of Gualaceo SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 26%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

CD El Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.28 per game. CD El Nacional takes 10.6 shots per game, while Gualaceo SC takes 8.3.

First-half and second-half trends

CD El Nacional leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Gualaceo SC leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.52 after halftime.

When the teams score

CD El Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Gualaceo SC, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera Categoría Serie B games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.59Points per game1.48

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

0.88Goals scored / game1.03

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

1.59Goals allowed / game0.71

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

1.36xG for1.28

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

47%Average possession45%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

4.16Shots on target / game3.42

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

13%Clean sheets52%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

53%Both teams scored29%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.59Shots per game8.32

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

4.16Shots on target3.42

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

8.3%Shot conversion12.4%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

47%Possession45%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

1.36xG for1.28

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

1.51xG against1.12

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Shooting quality

CD El Nacional: BalancedGualaceo SC: Counter-attacking

	CD El Nacional	Gualaceo SC
Accuracy (shots on target)	39%	41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.13	0.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.21	0.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gualaceo SC is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - CD El Nacional · 1.6 pts / game - Gualaceo SC

CD El Nacional

LLWLL

Season result split

13% W22% D66% L

Season (W-D-L)

4-7-21

0.59 pts / game · goal difference -23

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-0-4

0.60 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

2-4-9

Last 5 at home

1-0-4

LLWLL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Gualaceo SC

DWWDL

Season result split

39% W32% D29% L

Season (W-D-L)

12-10-9

1.48 pts / game · goal difference +10

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

5-5-6

Last 5 away

4-0-1

WWWWL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gualaceo SC is 17% better for: goals scored per game.

0.88 goals / game - CD El Nacional · 1.03 goals / game - Gualaceo SC

Gualaceo SC is 124% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.59 goals / game - CD El Nacional · 0.71 goals / game - Gualaceo SC

CD El Nacional scoring profile: mixed

CD El Nacional scores in 59% of games (19 of 32 games), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 games).

Gualaceo SC scoring profile: very strong

Gualaceo SC scores in 61% of games (19 of 31 games), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 games).

28Goals scored (season)32

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

51Goals conceded (season)22

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

2.47Average goals per game1.74

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

9Goals scored (last 5)6

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

12Goals conceded (last 5)4

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

CD El Nacional

13%

Clean sheets4 of 32 games

41%

No goal13 of 32 games

Gualaceo SC

52%

Clean sheets16 of 31 games

39%

No goal12 of 31 games

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal61%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

13%2 goals26%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

9%3 goals13%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

3%4 goals3%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal48%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

50%2 goals19%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

19%3 goals3%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

3%4 goals0%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%

CD El Nacional - BTTS17 of 32 games

29%

Gualaceo SC - BTTS9 of 31 games

38%

League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time13%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

6%BTTS in both halves6%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

13%Scored in both halves16%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

80%BTTS - last 540%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

94%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)81%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

72%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)52%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

50%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)26%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

16%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)6%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

9%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)6%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Over / Under - CD El Nacional

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 94%Under 6%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 72%Under 28%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 16%Under 84%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 9%Under 91%

Over / Under - Gualaceo SC

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 81%Under 19%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 52%Under 48%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 26%Under 74%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 6%Under 94%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

28%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

13%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time45%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

34%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gualaceo SC is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.72 pts / game - CD El Nacional · 1.29 pts / game - Gualaceo SC

CD El Nacional - half-time state

16% leading25% draw59% trailing

Gualaceo SC - half-time state

26% leading52% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.72Points per game (1st half)1.29

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.42

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.42

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

1.22Average goals (1st half)0.84

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

34%Clean sheet before half-time68%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

72%No goal before half-time65%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per game (2nd half)1.42

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.52

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.26

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

1.25Average goals (2nd half)0.77

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

38%Clean sheet after half-time77%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

56%No goal after half-time61%

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

CD El Nacional - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-19

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-4

Goal difference (2nd half)

0.72

PPG before half-time

Lead holding81%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 13%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gualaceo SC - second-half results

26% W65% D10% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.29

PPG before half-time

Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

CD El Nacional - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	0.60	1.60
Goals scored / game	0.6	1.2
Goals allowed / game	1.4	1.0
Average goals per game	2.0	2.2
1 goal	100%	100%
2 goals	60%	80%
3 goals	40%	20%
Clean sheet	0%	20%
No goal	60%	20%
Goal difference	-4	+1

Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

Gualaceo SC - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	1.80
Goals scored / game	0.6	0.6
Goals allowed / game	0.6	0.2
Average goals per game	1.2	0.8
1 goal	60%	40%
2 goals	40%	20%
3 goals	20%	20%
Clean sheet	40%	80%
No goal	60%	60%
Goal difference	0	+2

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

CD El Nacional

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gualaceo SC

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.10

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

0.8 : 1.3

Estimated goal split

home : away

101%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

41%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-21%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

36%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

16%

0:0 risk

about 1 in 6 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

CD El Nacional

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.15

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.56

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-3.2 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.48

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

-0.08

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

72%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

185%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.01

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.

21%

Gualaceo SC

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.16

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.16

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-17.2 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.25

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.41

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

120%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

58%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.12

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.1

Late goals

22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.

22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).

Teams vs league

	CD El Nacional	Liga	Gualaceo SC
Average goals per game	▲ 2.47	2.08	▼ 1.74
Both teams scored	▲ 53%	38%	▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 50%	35%	▼ 26%
Clean sheets	▼ 13%	39%	▲ 52%
Goal before half-time	▲ 78%	59%	▼ 55%
Goal after half-time	▲ 81%	60%	▼ 45%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.08

Average goals per game

38%

Both teams scored

35%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

39%

Clean sheets

1.22

Home goals / game

0.86

Away goals / game

+42%

Home attack advantage

+30%

Home defensive advantage

+22%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

59%

1 goal

25%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

60%

1 goal

29%

2 goals

12%

3 goals

4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from CD El Nacional's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Gualaceo SC. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do CD El Nacional and Gualaceo SC play?

CD El Nacional face Gualaceo SC on October 28, 2026 in Primera Categoría Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CD El Nacional and Gualaceo SC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches CD El Nacional won 0, Gualaceo SC won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?

CD El Nacional score 0.88 goals per game on average and Gualaceo SC 1.03. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 53% of CD El Nacional's matches and 29% of Gualaceo SC's.

What form are CD El Nacional and Gualaceo SC in?

Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gualaceo SC 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.