CD El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors: match statistics
Statistical analysis of the last 5 matches indicates a very balanced contest between the two teams. CD El Nacional has scored 5 goals while conceding 14 (goal difference -9), averaging 1.2 points per match with a form of wllwl. Independiente Juniors shows a slightly better goal difference with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded (goal difference +3), averaging 1.4 points per match with a form of llwdw. Both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, confirming their similar sporting level. The lack of detailed home and away data for the current season (all values at 0) prevents a deeper analysis. However, based on overall form, I predict a closely contested match with a slight edge for the visitors. A draw remains a realistic scenario due to the teams' comparable capabilities.
CD El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD El Nacional play Independiente Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Independiente Juniors: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Independiente Juniors scores 1.06 and concedes 0.65. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD El Nacional 59%, Independiente Juniors 41%. Over 2.5: CD El Nacional 47%, Independiente Juniors 35%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Juniors has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.32. CD El Nacional: 9.8 shots per match, Independiente Juniors: 9.5.
Match halves
CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35. Independiente Juniors: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). Independiente Juniors: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Statistical analysis of the last 5 matches indicates a very balanced contest between the two teams. CD El Nacional has scored 5 goals while conceding 14 (goal difference -9), averaging 1.2 points per match with a form of wllwl. Independiente Juniors shows a slightly better goal difference with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded (goal difference +3), averaging 1.4 points per match with a form of llwdw. Both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, confirming their similar sporting level. The lack of detailed home and away data for the current season (all values at 0) prevents a deeper analysis. However, based on overall form, I predict a closely contested match with a slight edge for the visitors. A draw remains a realistic scenario due to the teams' comparable capabilities.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD El Nacional | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Juniors is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Independiente Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Juniors is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 1.06 goals / match - Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 0.65 goals / match - Independiente Juniors
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Independiente Juniors scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
Over / Under — Independiente Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente Juniors is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.18 pts / match - Independiente Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD El Nacional
Independiente Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| CD El Nacional | Liga | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 1.94 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 60% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of CD El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished CD El Nacional 0:1 Independiente Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors?
CD El Nacional score 0.59 goals per game on average and Independiente Juniors 1.06. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 59% of CD El Nacional's matches and 41% of Independiente Juniors's.
What form are CD El Nacional and Independiente Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Independiente Juniors 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.