CD Eldense vs Cádiz: match statistics

Cádiz sit 10th in the table, while CD Eldense are only 21st, indicating a clear difference in the teams’ respective positions so far. In their last five matches, the hosts have conceded as many as 12 goals—an average of 2.4 per game—while scoring just 4. The visitors have also managed only 3 goals in five matches, but their defense has conceded just 5, which is 7 fewer than Eldense. Both teams have won one of their last five matches and averaged 0.8 points, making a draw a realistic outcome. However, Eldense’s weak defense, having lost their opening match of the season 0:3, gives Cádiz a greater chance of securing the win.

The stronger signal points to a scenario in which at least one team fails to score, as BTTS has occurred in only 40% of Eldense’s last five matches and in just 20% of Cádiz’s games. Both teams also have limited attacking efficiency: Eldense average 0.8 goals, while Cádiz average 0.6 goals across their last five appearances. The visitors’ particularly low attacking potential is further supported by an xG of 0.84, while their defense restricts opponents to just 0.79 xG and concedes an average of 1.0 goal per match. Eldense do concede as many as 2.4 goals per game, but Cádiz’s weak attacking output increases the risk that the visitors will be the team to draw a blank. BTTS occurs in 45% of league matches, meaning the current figures for both teams clearly support a “BTTS - No” pick.

Data from the last 5 matches points to limited attacking potential from both teams: Eldense averaged 0.8 goals, while Cádiz averaged 0.6. Their average xG stands at 1.25 and 0.84 respectively, which, when combined with the opponents’ xG conceded figures of 0.79 for Cádiz and 1.38 for Eldense, produces a projected total of around 2.10 goals. Eldense did concede 12 goals across five matches, but Cádiz scored only 3 goals over the same period and had at least three goals in just 20% of their matches. Therefore, the clearest edge lies with Under 3.5 goals, as even the hosts’ defensive weaknesses are unlikely to overcome the visitors’ limited attacking profile and create a four-goal game.

The strongest signal points to Cádiz leading at the break, as Eldense have been behind at half-time in each of their last five matches, failing to score a single goal during that period while conceding an average of 3.0. Before the break, Cádiz have averaged 0.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, while keeping a clean sheet in this phase of the game in 80% of their recent matches. Across their last five overall appearances, Eldense have allowed opponents an average of 2.4 goals per match, clearly more than Cádiz, who have conceded 1.0. The hosts have won only 20% of these matches and lost 60%, a figure matched by the visitors, but Eldense’s weak defense and highly negative first-half record favor the 2/2 scenario. A draw at half-time followed by a Cádiz win remains a significant alternative, as the visitors have been level at the break in 60% of their recent matches.