CD Feirense vs Sporting CP II: match statistics

Sporting CP II sit 3rd, while CD Feirense are only 17th, with the two teams’ records after four matches standing at 3 wins and 1 defeat for the visitors compared with 0 wins for the hosts. Feirense are yet to score this season, and across two home fixtures they have averaged just 1 shot on target despite 59% possession and an average xG of 1.29. The visitors are in considerably better form: they have won 3 of their last five matches and averaged 2 points per game, compared with just 0.4 points for Feirense. Sporting CP II also create significantly more high-quality chances away from home, recording an xG of 1.60 compared with the hosts’ 1.29, while also averaging 4 shots on target per match against Feirense’s 1. The hosts’ defense can be solid, conceding only 0.5 goals per home game and keeping two clean sheets in half of their matches, so a draw remains a realistic alternative; however, the advantage in form and attacking potential points to the visitors.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from the current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in only 20% of games. Feirense scored just 0.4 goals per match during this period, while Sporting CP II averaged 0.8, with the hosts failing to score in any home match according to the season data. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, and Feirense did so in 50% as well, clearly increasing the likelihood that at least one side will remain goalless. Although the average xG from the last five appearances is 1.51 for each team, offensive efficiency is low, especially for Sporting CP II, which converts only 3% of its shots. The league BTTS rate of 39% also supports a scenario in which both teams do not score.

Feirense’s last five matches produced an average of just 0.4 goals scored, while Sporting CP II averaged 0.8 goals per game over the same period. Both teams have recorded at least three goals in only 20% of their last five matches, and neither has registered a game with a minimum of four goals this season. The visitors’ defense has conceded 0.6 goals per match recently, while Feirense, despite conceding an average of 1.2 goals, has generally limited opponents to a moderate tally. Although both teams have generated 1.51 xG per game across their last five matches, their actual finishing has been significantly less effective, particularly on the home side. The strongest signal therefore points to Under 3.5 goals, as the projected total of 1.85 goals leaves a clear safety margin below the four-goal line.

The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time and a Sporting CP II win after the match, as the visitors have averaged 2.0 points per game in their last five fixtures, compared with just 0.4 for Feirense. Feirense have failed to score before the break during this period, were trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches, and never held the lead. Sporting CP II were level at half-time in 60% of their last five appearances, while their average number of goals conceded in the first half is only 0.2, supporting a cautious start. After the interval, the visitors score an average of 0.6 goals, while the hosts concede 0.6, and the difference in their current form—Sporting CP II recording 3 wins compared with 0 for Feirense in their last five matches—favors a decisive result for the away side.