CD Mafra vs Caldas: match statistics
CD Mafra displays superior home form, boasting a 71% win rate on their own turf and an impressive +8 goal difference. The hosts have won four of their last five home fixtures, averaging 1.57 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.43. Conversely, Caldas is in a deep crisis, suffering five consecutive defeats with zero points collected in their last five matches overall, scoring just a single goal in that span. The visitors struggle for efficiency on the road (43% of matches without scoring), averaging only 0.71 goals per away game. xG figures further support the hosts (1.35 vs 1.05), pointing to a distinct advantage for CD Mafra given current form. Considering all data points, a home victory stands out as the most likely outcome.
CD Mafra vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Mafra played against Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
CD Mafra has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Caldas has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Mafra scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.07. Caldas scores 0.93 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.11 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of CD Mafra's games and 43% of Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 36%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Mafra has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.21 per game. CD Mafra takes 9.3 shots per game, while Caldas takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Mafra leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Caldas leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Mafra's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Caldas, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.11 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra displays superior home form, boasting a 71% win rate on their own turf and an impressive +8 goal difference. The hosts have won four of their last five home fixtures, averaging 1.57 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.43. Conversely, Caldas is in a deep crisis, suffering five consecutive defeats with zero points collected in their last five matches overall, scoring just a single goal in that span. The visitors struggle for efficiency on the road (43% of matches without scoring), averaging only 0.71 goals per away game. xG figures further support the hosts (1.35 vs 1.05), pointing to a distinct advantage for CD Mafra given current form. Considering all data points, a home victory stands out as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Mafra | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - CD Mafra · 0.93 goals / game - Caldas
CD Mafra is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - CD Mafra · 1.14 goals / game - Caldas
CD Mafra scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 meczów), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
Caldas scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Mafra
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - CD Mafra · 0.93 pts / game - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Mafra
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Mafra | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.57 | 2.11 | • 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from CD Mafra's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Caldas. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Mafra vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Mafra 4:2 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Mafra vs Caldas?
CD Mafra score 1.50 goals per game on average and Caldas 0.93. The Liga 3 average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 64% of CD Mafra's matches and 43% of Caldas's.
What form are CD Mafra and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games CD Mafra have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caldas 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Mafra vs Caldas?
The statistical background for CD Mafra vs Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.