CD Mafra vs Varzim: match statistics
CD Mafra displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and just 0% losses at their own stadium, making them a very threatening opponent at home. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per home match while conceding only 0.56, and their home goal difference of +10 is significantly better than Varzim's away goal difference (+1). Varzim has weaker offensive statistics away from home (1.22 goals/match) and concedes an average of 1.11 goals, additionally failing to keep a clean sheet in 78% of away matches. Mafra has better shot accuracy (17% vs 15%) and more shots on target in home matches (4.67 vs Varzim's 2.89 away). Both teams are in good recent form, but the home advantage and Mafra's decidedly better home statistics point to a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' solidity.
CD Mafra vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Mafra played against Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
CD Mafra has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Varzim has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Mafra scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.06. Varzim scores 1.47 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of CD Mafra's games and 58% of Varzim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 47%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Mafra has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.32 per game. CD Mafra takes 9.7 shots per game, while Varzim takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Mafra leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Varzim leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Mafra's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Varzim, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and just 0% losses at their own stadium, making them a very threatening opponent at home. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per home match while conceding only 0.56, and their home goal difference of +10 is significantly better than Varzim's away goal difference (+1). Varzim has weaker offensive statistics away from home (1.22 goals/match) and concedes an average of 1.11 goals, additionally failing to keep a clean sheet in 78% of away matches. Mafra has better shot accuracy (17% vs 15%) and more shots on target in home matches (4.67 vs Varzim's 2.89 away). Both teams are in good recent form, but the home advantage and Mafra's decidedly better home statistics point to a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' solidity.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Mafra | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Varzim is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - CD Mafra · 2.4 pts / game - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - CD Mafra · 1.47 goals / game - Varzim
Varzim is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - CD Mafra · 0.95 goals / game - Varzim
CD Mafra scores in 89% of games (16 of 18 meczów), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Varzim scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Mafra
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / game - CD Mafra · 1.47 pts / game - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Mafra
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Mafra | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.61 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 37% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 33% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Mafra vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Mafra 1:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Mafra vs Varzim?
CD Mafra score 1.56 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.47. The Liga 3 average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 67% of CD Mafra's matches and 58% of Varzim's.
What form are CD Mafra and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games CD Mafra have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Varzim 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Mafra vs Varzim?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Mafra vs Varzim: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.