CD Nacional vs Porto: match statistics
Porto clearly dominates this encounter, occupying the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat. The visitors display phenomenal away form with 91% of away matches won, scoring an average of 2 goals per match while conceding just 0.36 goals. CD Nacional is in 13th place with a negative home record (30% wins, 50% losses) and concedes an average of 1.7 goals per match at home. The quality difference between both teams is huge – Porto has a +18 goal difference away from home, while Nacional has -1 at home. The xG stats (1.68 for Porto vs 1.34 for Nacional) and possession (57% vs 48%) further confirm the visitors' advantage. Considering all the data, a Porto victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
CD Nacional vs Porto: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Nacional played against Porto in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
CD Nacional has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Porto has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Nacional scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.43. Porto scores 2.00 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of CD Nacional's games and 29% of Porto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 52%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Porto has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.32 per game. CD Nacional takes 12.1 shots per game, while Porto takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Nacional leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Porto leads at halftime in 57% and scores 1.19 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Porto, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Porto clearly dominates this encounter, occupying the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat. The visitors display phenomenal away form with 91% of away matches won, scoring an average of 2 goals per match while conceding just 0.36 goals. CD Nacional is in 13th place with a negative home record (30% wins, 50% losses) and concedes an average of 1.7 goals per match at home. The quality difference between both teams is huge – Porto has a +18 goal difference away from home, while Nacional has -1 at home. The xG stats (1.68 for Porto vs 1.34 for Nacional) and possession (57% vs 48%) further confirm the visitors' advantage. Considering all the data, a Porto victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Porto is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - CD Nacional · 2 pts / game - Porto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - CD Nacional · 2 goals / game - Porto
Porto is 333% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - CD Nacional · 0.33 goals / game - Porto
CD Nacional scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 71% (15 of 21 meczów).
Porto scores in 95% of games (20 of 21 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Porto
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - CD Nacional · 2.1 pts / game - Porto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 24%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Porto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Nacional
Porto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Porto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.71 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from CD Nacional's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Porto. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Porto?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 0:1 Porto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Porto?
CD Nacional score 1.29 goals per game on average and Porto 2.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 62% of CD Nacional's matches and 29% of Porto's.
What form are CD Nacional and Porto in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Porto 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Porto?
The statistical background for CD Nacional vs Porto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.