CD Nacional vs Santa Clara: match statistics
Both teams are displaying very poor form this season, sitting next to each other in the table (14th and 13th) with an identical points tally. CD Nacional has the minimal advantage of playing at home but possesses an alarming home record – 71% losses and 0% draws, which paradoxically suggests a draw would be an atypical but possible result here. Santa Clara plays defensively in away matches (only 0.57 goals per match) but boasts a better draw percentage on the road (29%) and a slightly more solid defense (1.29 goals conceded vs 2.0 for the hosts). Both teams have an identical 0.8 points per match in their last 5 fixtures and a negative goal difference (-5), indicating a balanced level. Considering the weakness of both sides, the visitors' defensive style away from home, and the statistical possibility of a surprise, I predict a tight contest with a slight edge towards a draw scenario.
CD Nacional vs Santa Clara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Nacional played against Santa Clara in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
CD Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Santa Clara has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Nacional scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.44. Santa Clara scores 0.69 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of CD Nacional's games and 38% of Santa Clara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 31%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.24 per game. CD Nacional takes 11.8 shots per game, while Santa Clara takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Nacional leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Santa Clara leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Santa Clara, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams are displaying very poor form this season, sitting next to each other in the table (14th and 13th) with an identical points tally. CD Nacional has the minimal advantage of playing at home but possesses an alarming home record – 71% losses and 0% draws, which paradoxically suggests a draw would be an atypical but possible result here. Santa Clara plays defensively in away matches (only 0.57 goals per match) but boasts a better draw percentage on the road (29%) and a slightly more solid defense (1.29 goals conceded vs 2.0 for the hosts). Both teams have an identical 0.8 points per match in their last 5 fixtures and a negative goal difference (-5), indicating a balanced level. Considering the weakness of both sides, the visitors' defensive style away from home, and the statistical possibility of a surprise, I predict a tight contest with a slight edge towards a draw scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Santa Clara is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1 pts / game - Santa Clara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - CD Nacional · 0.69 goals / game - Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - CD Nacional · 1 goals / game - Santa Clara
CD Nacional scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Santa Clara scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Santa Clara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1 pts / game - Santa Clara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Nacional
Santa Clara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 2.72 | ▼ 1.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Santa Clara?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 3:3 Santa Clara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Santa Clara?
CD Nacional score 1.13 goals per game on average and Santa Clara 0.69. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of CD Nacional's matches and 38% of Santa Clara's.
What form are CD Nacional and Santa Clara in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Santa Clara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Santa Clara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Santa Clara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.