CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this meeting, sitting in 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season. The hosts, CD Nacional, find themselves in 14th position with just 5 wins and a negative goal difference (-2) at their own stadium. Braga demonstrates an advantage in all key statistics: a higher average of goals scored away (1.92 vs 1.45), better efficiency (42% away wins vs 27% for the hosts at home), and dominance in possession (65% vs 48%). The form over the last 5 matches also speaks for the visitors - 2.0 points per match compared to just 0.8 for Nacional. Additionally, Braga has a higher xG indicator (1.66 vs 1.3) and rarely finishes matches without scoring (8% vs 36%), which confirms their offensive effectiveness.
CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Nacional played against Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
CD Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Sporting Braga has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Nacional scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.48. Sporting Braga scores 2.09 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of CD Nacional's games and 48% of Sporting Braga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 70%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting Braga has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.31 per game. CD Nacional takes 12.0 shots per game, while Sporting Braga takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Nacional leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Sporting Braga leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Sporting Braga, it is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this meeting, sitting in 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season. The hosts, CD Nacional, find themselves in 14th position with just 5 wins and a negative goal difference (-2) at their own stadium. Braga demonstrates an advantage in all key statistics: a higher average of goals scored away (1.92 vs 1.45), better efficiency (42% away wins vs 27% for the hosts at home), and dominance in possession (65% vs 48%). The form over the last 5 matches also speaks for the visitors - 2.0 points per match compared to just 0.8 for Nacional. Additionally, Braga has a higher xG indicator (1.66 vs 1.3) and rarely finishes matches without scoring (8% vs 36%), which confirms their offensive effectiveness.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sporting Braga is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - CD Nacional · 2.4 pts / game - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 79% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - CD Nacional · 2.09 goals / game - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - CD Nacional · 0.96 goals / game - Sporting Braga
CD Nacional scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
Sporting Braga scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1.74 pts / game - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 22%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Nacional
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.65 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CD Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sporting Braga. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 1:2 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?
CD Nacional score 1.17 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 2.09. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CD Nacional's matches and 48% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are CD Nacional and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sporting Braga 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.