CD Tondela vs Alverca: match statistics
The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams from the bottom half of the table struggling with efficiency. CD Tondela presents catastrophic home form with a mere 10% win rate and 70% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Alverca shows slightly better form in the last five meetings (1.4 points per match versus 0.4 for Tondela), yet their away statistics are equally worrying – 70% losses and an average of 2.1 goals conceded per match. A key factor is Alverca's advantage in shot conversion (15% versus 5%) and a lower percentage of matches without scoring away (30% versus 70% for Tondela at home). Given the poor form of both teams, low average xG, and history of recent meetings, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one side, with Alverca's slight experience advantage potentially tipping the scales in their favor.
CD Tondela vs Alverca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Tondela play Alverca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 13 February 2026 at 21:45. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
CD Tondela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Alverca: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Tondela scores 0.79 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Alverca scores 1.03 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Tondela 35%, Alverca 56%. Over 2.5: CD Tondela 50%, Alverca 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CD Tondela has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.14. CD Tondela: 10.6 shots per match, Alverca: 9.7.
Match halves
CD Tondela: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.50. Alverca: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
CD Tondela: 0-15 (6 goals). Alverca: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams from the bottom half of the table struggling with efficiency. CD Tondela presents catastrophic home form with a mere 10% win rate and 70% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Alverca shows slightly better form in the last five meetings (1.4 points per match versus 0.4 for Tondela), yet their away statistics are equally worrying – 70% losses and an average of 2.1 goals conceded per match. A key factor is Alverca's advantage in shot conversion (15% versus 5%) and a lower percentage of matches without scoring away (30% versus 70% for Tondela at home). Given the poor form of both teams, low average xG, and history of recent meetings, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one side, with Alverca's slight experience advantage potentially tipping the scales in their favor.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Tondela | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Tondela is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - CD Tondela · 0.8 pts / match - Alverca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alverca is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.03 goals / match - Alverca
Alverca is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.53 goals / match - Alverca
CD Tondela scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Alverca scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD Tondela
Over / Under — Alverca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alverca is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - CD Tondela · 1.15 pts / match - Alverca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Tondela
Alverca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Tondela | Liga | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Tondela 0 - 0 - 1 Alverca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Tondela vs Alverca?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Tondela 1:1 Alverca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Tondela vs Alverca?
CD Tondela score 0.79 goals per game on average and Alverca 1.03. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 35% of CD Tondela's matches and 56% of Alverca's.
What form are CD Tondela and Alverca in?
Over the last 5 games CD Tondela have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Alverca 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Tondela vs Alverca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Tondela vs Alverca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.