CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this match. The hosts CD Tondela are in 17th place in the table with a disastrous home record: only 13% home wins, 63% losses, and as many as 63% of matches without scoring a goal. Their form is very poor - in the last 5 matches they have averaged only 0.6 points per game. Sporting Braga demonstrates significantly higher quality: they average 1.89 goals per away game, have 66% ball possession, and a shot conversion rate of 13%. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.76 vs 1.31) and goal difference (+6 vs -6) clearly favor the visitors. Despite Braga's slightly worse recent form (1 point per game in the last 5 matches), their qualitative superiority over one of the weakest teams in the league should result in an away win.
CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Tondela played against Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
CD Tondela has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Sporting Braga has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Tondela scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.71. Sporting Braga scores 1.82 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of CD Tondela's games and 53% of Sporting Braga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 65%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting Braga has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.25 per game. CD Tondela takes 11.5 shots per game, while Sporting Braga takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Tondela leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Sporting Braga leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Tondela's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Sporting Braga, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this match. The hosts CD Tondela are in 17th place in the table with a disastrous home record: only 13% home wins, 63% losses, and as many as 63% of matches without scoring a goal. Their form is very poor - in the last 5 matches they have averaged only 0.6 points per game. Sporting Braga demonstrates significantly higher quality: they average 1.89 goals per away game, have 66% ball possession, and a shot conversion rate of 13%. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.76 vs 1.31) and goal difference (+6 vs -6) clearly favor the visitors. Despite Braga's slightly worse recent form (1 point per game in the last 5 matches), their qualitative superiority over one of the weakest teams in the league should result in an away win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Tondela | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sporting Braga is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - CD Tondela · 1.6 pts / game - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 156% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - CD Tondela · 1.82 goals / game - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 61% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - CD Tondela · 1.06 goals / game - Sporting Braga
CD Tondela scores in 41% of games (7 of 17 meczów), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Sporting Braga scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Tondela
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - CD Tondela · 1.41 pts / game - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Tondela
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Tondela | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.41 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CD Tondela's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sporting Braga. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Tondela 0:1 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga?
CD Tondela score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.82. The Liga NOS average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 35% of CD Tondela's matches and 53% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are CD Tondela and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games CD Tondela have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sporting Braga 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.