Portugal - Liga 3Data current as of September 12, 2026

CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: match statistics

CD Trofense crest
CD Trofense
0 : 1half-time 0:0
AD Marco 09 crest
AD Marco 09
165%(1.55)
X25%(3.40)
210%(5.60)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.58.83
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.0.75%

CD Trofense clearly outperforms AD Marco 09 in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts achieve a 38% win rate at home with an average of 1.38 goals per match, while the visitors have not won any away match this season (0% Win%). AD Marco's form shows a series of eight matches without a win away from home, with 63% losses and only 0.5 goals scored on average per away match. Trofense displays solid form in their last five matches (2 PPG) and a positive goal difference of +4 at home. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away from home (63% FTS%), which, combined with the hosts' decent defense (0.88 goals conceded on average at home), gives CD Trofense a clear advantage. All indicators, including xG (1.33 vs 1.39), possession (54% vs 47%), and efficiency, point to a certain victory for the hosts.

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CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

CD Trofense played against AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

CD Trofense has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. AD Marco 09 has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

CD Trofense scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 0.81. AD Marco 09 scores 0.81 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of CD Trofense's games and 50% of AD Marco 09's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 44%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AD Marco 09 has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.18 per game. CD Trofense takes 7.9 shots per game, while AD Marco 09 takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

CD Trofense leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. AD Marco 09 leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.31 after halftime.

When the teams score

CD Trofense's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For AD Marco 09, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 3 games average 2.13 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CD Trofense clearly outperforms AD Marco 09 in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts achieve a 38% win rate at home with an average of 1.38 goals per match, while the visitors have not won any away match this season (0% Win%). AD Marco's form shows a series of eight matches without a win away from home, with 63% losses and only 0.5 goals scored on average per away match. Trofense displays solid form in their last five matches (2 PPG) and a positive goal difference of +4 at home. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away from home (63% FTS%), which, combined with the hosts' decent defense (0.88 goals conceded on average at home), gives CD Trofense a clear advantage. All indicators, including xG (1.33 vs 1.39), possession (54% vs 47%), and efficiency, point to a certain victory for the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
7Shots19
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
3Shots on target5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.14xG2.07
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
5Corners5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
66Dangerous attacks72
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13Fouls10
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
2Cards4
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.69Points per gamePPG - points per game.1
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.38Goals scored / game0.81
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.81Goals allowed / game1.19
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.18xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.34
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%Average possession48%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
3.31Shots on target / game4.44
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
31%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.31%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
56%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.50%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.94Shots per game10.25
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
3.31Shots on target4.44
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
17.3%Shot conversion7.9%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%Possession48%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.18xG for1.34
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.18xG against1.4
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Shooting quality

CD Trofense: Efficient finishingAD Marco 09: Balanced
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
Accuracy (shots on target)42%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

CD Trofense is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - CD Trofense · 0.8 pts / game - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense
DWWLW
Season result split
44% W38% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-3
1.69 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
AD Marco 09
DLWLL
Season result split
19% W44% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-5
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CD Trofense is 70% better for: goals scored per game.

1.38 goals / game - CD Trofense · 0.81 goals / game - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.81 goals / game - CD Trofense · 1.19 goals / game - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense scoring profile: strong

CD Trofense scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).

AD Marco 09 scoring profile: strong

AD Marco 09 scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).

22Goals scored (season)13
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13Goals conceded (season)19
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
2.19Average goals per game2
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
7Goals scored (last 5)6
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
CD Trofense
31%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 16 meczów
31%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 16 meczów
AD Marco 09
31%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 16 meczów
44%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.7 of 16 meczów

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal56%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
38%2 goals25%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%3 goals0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%4 goals0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%2 goals38%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0%3 goals13%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0%4 goals0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
CD Trofense - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 16 meczów
50%
AD Marco 09 - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 16 meczów
45%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time19%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
6%BTTS in both halves6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
25%Scored in both halves13%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
40%BTTS - last 580%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

81%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.75%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
63%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
38%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.44%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.13%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Over / Under - CD Trofense

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 81%Under 19%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

Over / Under - AD Marco 09

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 75%Under 25%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 44%Under 56%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CD Trofense is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - CD Trofense · 1.31 pts / game - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
AD Marco 09 - half-time state
25% leading56% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.31
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.25Average goals (1st half)1
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%No goal before half-time56%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)0.81
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.94Average goals (2nd half)1
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
69%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
56%No goal after half-time75%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

CD Trofense - second-half results

31% W56% D13% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AD Marco 09 - second-half results

13% W44% D44% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

CD Trofense - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.20
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
AD Marco 09 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

CD Trofense
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

AD Marco 09
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.09
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

CD Trofense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

AD Marco 09

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

CD TrofenseLigaAD Marco 09
Average goals per game• 2.192.13▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 56%45%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 38%35%▲ 44%
Clean sheets▼ 31%34%▼ 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%62%• 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 56%73%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.13
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
0.95
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AD Marco 09Yellow cardValentim Ferreira de Sousa
  2. AD Marco 09GoalPedro Augusto Ferreira SoaresAssist: Diogo Oliveira Silva
  3. AD Marco 09SubstitutionOn: Erivaldo Jorge Paulo FerreiraOff: Valentim Ferreira de Sousa
  4. CD TrofenseSubstitutionOn: Khalid HachadiOff: Welisson Costa Santos
  5. CD TrofenseSubstitutionOn: Joel António Soares FerreiraOff: Eduardo Duarte
  6. AD Marco 09Yellow cardPedro Augusto Ferreira Soares
  7. CD TrofenseSubstitutionOn: Rodrigo Manuel Ferreira GranjaOff: Nuno Filipe Ribeiro Teixeira
  8. CD TrofenseYellow cardJoão Daniel Cruz Seabra Santos
  9. CD TrofenseYellow cardGonçalo Ferreira da Cunha
  10. AD Marco 09Red cardDaniel Jesus Moreira Carvalho
  11. AD Marco 09SubstitutionOn: José Pedro Nogueira CoutoOff: Tiago Manuel Maio Matos
  12. AD Marco 09SubstitutionOn: Bruno Miguel Martins GuimarãesOff: Mauro Azevedo Ribeiro

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeDiogo Torres Coelho

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Diogo Torres CoelhoMatches officiated: 9
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 211%Home wins22%Draws67%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from CD Trofense's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AD Marco 09. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Associação Desportiva de Marco de Canaveses 09
1 : 1
CD Trofense

FAQ

What was the result of CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

The Liga 3 match finished CD Trofense 0:1 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

CD Trofense score 1.38 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 0.81. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 56% of CD Trofense's matches and 50% of AD Marco 09's.

What form are CD Trofense and AD Marco 09 in?

Over the last 5 games CD Trofense have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and AD Marco 09 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.