Celje vs Maribor: match statistics
Celje vs Maribor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celje played Maribor in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Z'dežele. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Celje: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match. Maribor: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celje scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Maribor scores 1.50 and concedes 0.00. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celje 100%, Maribor 0%. Over 2.5: Celje 100%, Maribor 50%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.31. Celje: 12.0 shots per match, Maribor: 8.5.
Match halves
Celje: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Maribor: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Celje: 46-60 (1 goals). Maribor: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams show a strong draw trend: Celje has 0% wins and 100% draws at home, while Maribor has 0% wins and 100% draws away, which significantly increases the probability of a points split. Offensive metrics favor the hosts: Celje averages 12 shots and 3 on target per home match, scoring 2 goals per game with xG 1.57, whereas Maribor averages 9 shots and 2 on target away with xG 1.36. However, Maribor has 100% clean sheets on the road and concedes 0 goals on average away, while Celje concedes 2 goals per home match, which balances the defensive outlook. Over the last 5 matches Maribor averages 1.4 points per game versus Celje’s 1.0, and recent forms (llwdw vs llwdd) give the visitors a slight edge in points production. Therefore, considering the 100% draw trends, similar xG (1.57 vs 1.36) and the contrast between the hosts’ scoring output (2 goals per game) and the visitors’ defensive resilience (0 goals conceded), I predict a draw, with a relatively high probability of a shared point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key data signals argue against BTTS: league BTTS rate is only 22%, and clean sheets occur in 89% of matches. Additionally, both teams show a season BTTS rate of 0% and season clean sheet rate of 100% in the provided stats, which strongly supports the “No Goal” scenario. Counterargument is Celje’s form: in the last 5 matches Celje has BTTS 80%, scoring on average 2.4 goals and conceding 2.0 (12 scored, 10 conceded) with xG 1.77 vs xG against 1.44 and an average of 6 shots on target. Maribor in the last 5 has BTTS only 20%, scores 1.4 and concedes 1.0 (7 scored, 5 conceded) and records just 2 shots on target on average, so despite Celje’s offensive stance the arguments favor No Goal; I estimate BTTS at 25% vs 75% for “No”.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on the last 5 matches xG: Celje has an attacking xG of 1.77 and Maribor an xG against of 1.05, yielding an expected 1.41 goals for Celje; similarly Maribor attacking xG 1.33 versus Celje xG against 1.44 yields 1.39 goals for the visitors, total 2.80. Actual figures confirm the offensive nature of form – Celje scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), Maribor 7 goals (1.4 per match), combined 3.8 goals per match, and over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 100% for Celje and 80% for Maribor. A simple Poisson model with λ=2.80 prices Over 2.5 at ~53%, Over 1.5 at ~77% and Over 3.5 at ~31%, however additional signals (Celje averaging 6.0 shots on target and a high conversion 38% vs Maribor 2.0 SOT and 0% conversion in the data) increase the probability of goals. Considering the total xG above 2.5 and the high over 2.5 rate in form, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal; Over 1.5 is also strong (≈80%), while Over 3.5 remains riskier (≈35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Celje has a clear home advantage: they have led at the break in 100.0% of their home matches and average 1.0 first-half goal at home, whereas Maribor averages 0.0 in the first half away and has not led at the break. Additionally, Celje averages 6.0 shots on target at home versus 2.0 for Maribor and has a much higher conversion rate (38.0% vs 0.0%), increasing the likelihood of chances being converted into goals. Although xG is similar (1.26 for Celje vs 1.36 for Maribor), Celje’s superiority in shots on target and finishing translates into more actual goals. Celje also has 100.0% home wins and averages 3.0 points at home, while Maribor has 0.0% away wins and averages 1.0 point away; therefore the most likely scenario is Celje leading at half-time and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Maribor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Maribor is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Celje · 2 pts / match - Maribor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Celje · 1.5 goals / match - Maribor
Celje scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
Maribor scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Celje
Over / Under — Maribor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goli). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celje
Maribor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Maribor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.80 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Celje 3 - 1 - 0 Maribor. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Maribor?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 1:1 Maribor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Maribor?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Celje won 3, Maribor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Maribor?
Celje score 2.00 goals per game on average and Maribor 1.50. The PrvaLiga average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Celje's matches and 0% of Maribor's.
What form are Celje and Maribor in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Maribor 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Maribor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Celje vs Maribor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.