Celje vs Maribor: match statistics
Celje vs Maribor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Celje played against Maribor in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on August 1, 2026. Venue: Stadion Z'dežele. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Celje has 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Maribor has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Celje scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Maribor scores 1.50 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Celje's games and 0% of Maribor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 50%, compared with league averages of 30% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.31 per game. Celje takes 12.0 shots per game, while Maribor takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Celje leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Maribor leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Celje's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). For Maribor, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 30% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams show a strong draw trend: Celje has 0% wins and 100% draws at home, while Maribor has 0% wins and 100% draws away, which significantly increases the probability of a points split. Offensive metrics favor the hosts: Celje averages 12 shots and 3 on target per home match, scoring 2 goals per game with xG 1.57, whereas Maribor averages 9 shots and 2 on target away with xG 1.36. However, Maribor has 100% clean sheets on the road and concedes 0 goals on average away, while Celje concedes 2 goals per home match, which balances the defensive outlook. Over the last 5 matches Maribor averages 1.4 points per game versus Celje’s 1.0, and recent forms (llwdw vs llwdd) give the visitors a slight edge in points production. Therefore, considering the 100% draw trends, similar xG (1.57 vs 1.36) and the contrast between the hosts’ scoring output (2 goals per game) and the visitors’ defensive resilience (0 goals conceded), I predict a draw, with a relatively high probability of a shared point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key data signals argue against BTTS: league BTTS rate is only 22%, and clean sheets occur in 89% of matches. Additionally, both teams show a season BTTS rate of 0% and season clean sheet rate of 100% in the provided stats, which strongly supports the “No Goal” scenario. Counterargument is Celje’s form: in the last 5 matches Celje has BTTS 80%, scoring on average 2.4 goals and conceding 2.0 (12 scored, 10 conceded) with xG 1.77 vs xG against 1.44 and an average of 6 shots on target. Maribor in the last 5 has BTTS only 20%, scores 1.4 and concedes 1.0 (7 scored, 5 conceded) and records just 2 shots on target on average, so despite Celje’s offensive stance the arguments favor No Goal; I estimate BTTS at 25% vs 75% for “No”.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on the last 5 matches xG: Celje has an attacking xG of 1.77 and Maribor an xG against of 1.05, yielding an expected 1.41 goals for Celje; similarly Maribor attacking xG 1.33 versus Celje xG against 1.44 yields 1.39 goals for the visitors, total 2.80. Actual figures confirm the offensive nature of form – Celje scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), Maribor 7 goals (1.4 per match), combined 3.8 goals per match, and over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 100% for Celje and 80% for Maribor. A simple Poisson model with λ=2.80 prices Over 2.5 at ~53%, Over 1.5 at ~77% and Over 3.5 at ~31%, however additional signals (Celje averaging 6.0 shots on target and a high conversion 38% vs Maribor 2.0 SOT and 0% conversion in the data) increase the probability of goals. Considering the total xG above 2.5 and the high over 2.5 rate in form, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal; Over 1.5 is also strong (≈80%), while Over 3.5 remains riskier (≈35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Celje has a clear home advantage: they have led at the break in 100.0% of their home matches and average 1.0 first-half goal at home, whereas Maribor averages 0.0 in the first half away and has not led at the break. Additionally, Celje averages 6.0 shots on target at home versus 2.0 for Maribor and has a much higher conversion rate (38.0% vs 0.0%), increasing the likelihood of chances being converted into goals. Although xG is similar (1.26 for Celje vs 1.36 for Maribor), Celje’s superiority in shots on target and finishing translates into more actual goals. Celje also has 100.0% home wins and averages 3.0 points at home, while Maribor has 0.0% away wins and averages 1.0 point away; therefore the most likely scenario is Celje leading at half-time and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Maribor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Maribor is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Celje · 2 pts / game - Maribor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Celje · 1.5 goals / game - Maribor
Celje scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 games), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 games).
Maribor scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Maribor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Celje
Maribor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Maribor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 2.80 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Celje's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Maribor. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Maribor?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 1:1 Maribor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Maribor?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Celje won 3, Maribor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Maribor?
Celje score 2.00 goals per game on average and Maribor 1.50. The PrvaLiga average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Celje's matches and 0% of Maribor's.
What form are Celje and Maribor in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Maribor 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Maribor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Celje vs Maribor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.