Celje vs Mura: match statistics
Celje are the clear favorites for this match, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The hosts show dominant form at home, winning 70% of their home matches with just 0% losses and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Mura are in eighth place with very poor away form - 73% losses, only 9% wins, and just 0.82 goals scored on average away. The difference in expected goals (xG) is clear: Celje have 2.08 xG in home matches, while Mura only have 1.43 xG away, confirming the hosts' qualitative advantage. The recent form of both teams also favors Celje - Mura have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, making a home win a highly likely scenario.
Celje vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Celje played against Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Celje has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Mura has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Celje scores 2.52 goals per game and allows 1.00. Mura scores 1.00 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Celje's games and 43% of Mura's. The Over 2.5 rates are 76% and 48%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.41 per game. Celje takes 15.2 shots per game, while Mura takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Celje leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.52 goals per game after halftime. Mura leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Celje's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Mura, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje are the clear favorites for this match, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The hosts show dominant form at home, winning 70% of their home matches with just 0% losses and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Mura are in eighth place with very poor away form - 73% losses, only 9% wins, and just 0.82 goals scored on average away. The difference in expected goals (xG) is clear: Celje have 2.08 xG in home matches, while Mura only have 1.43 xG away, confirming the hosts' qualitative advantage. The recent form of both teams also favors Celje - Mura have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, making a home win a highly likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Celje is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Celje · 0.6 pts / game - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 152% better for: goals scored per game.
2.52 goals / game - Celje · 1 goals / game - Mura
Celje is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Celje · 1.52 goals / game - Mura
Celje scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
Mura scores in 52% of games (11 of 21 meczów), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Mura
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / game - Celje · 1 pts / game - Mura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Celje
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.52 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Celje's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Mura. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 5:1 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Mura?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Celje won 1, Mura won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Mura?
Celje score 2.52 goals per game on average and Mura 1.00. The PrvaLiga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Celje's matches and 43% of Mura's.
What form are Celje and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mura 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Mura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.