Scotland - PremiershipCeltic ParkData current as of November 04, 2026

Celtic vs Kilmarnock: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Celtic vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Celtic plays Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The game is scheduled for November 8, 2026. Venue: Celtic Park.

Recent form

Celtic has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Kilmarnock has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Celtic scores 2.25 goals per game and allows 0.83. Kilmarnock scores 1.08 and allows 2.33. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Celtic's games and 58% of Kilmarnock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Celtic has the higher season xG average, 2.44 to 1.33 per game. Celtic takes 21.0 shots per game, while Kilmarnock takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Celtic leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Celtic's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Kilmarnock, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.14)
(7.60)
(15.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.25Goals scored / game1.08
CelticKilmarnock
0.83Goals allowed / game2.33
CelticKilmarnock
62%Average possession46%
CelticKilmarnock
8.67Shots on target / game3.92
CelticKilmarnock

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

21Shots per game12
CelticKilmarnock
8.67Shots on target3.92
CelticKilmarnock
10.7%Shot conversion9%
CelticKilmarnock
62%Possession46%
CelticKilmarnock
2.44xG for1.33
CelticKilmarnock
1.25xG against1.85
CelticKilmarnock

Shooting quality

Celtic: DominantKilmarnock: Balanced
CelticKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)41%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Celtic is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Celtic · 0.8 pts / game - Kilmarnock

Celtic
WWWDL
Season result split
75% W8% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-2
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.59Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Kilmarnock
LWLLD
Season result split
17% W25% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-7
0.75 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 108% better for: goals scored per game.

2.25 goals / game - Celtic · 1.08 goals / game - Kilmarnock

Celtic is 181% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.83 goals / game - Celtic · 2.33 goals / game - Kilmarnock

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: strong

Kilmarnock scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 games), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).

27Goals scored (season)13
CelticKilmarnock
10Goals conceded (season)28
CelticKilmarnock
3.08Average goals per game3.42
CelticKilmarnock
13Goals scored (last 5)7
CelticKilmarnock
6Goals conceded (last 5)13
CelticKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
CelticKilmarnock
67%2 goals25%
CelticKilmarnock
25%3 goals17%
CelticKilmarnock
17%4 goals0%
CelticKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
CelticKilmarnock
17%2 goals67%
CelticKilmarnock
0%3 goals50%
CelticKilmarnock
0%4 goals25%
CelticKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
CelticKilmarnock
0%BTTS in both halves17%
CelticKilmarnock
33%Scored in both halves17%
CelticKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CelticKilmarnock
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CelticKilmarnock
60%BTTS - last 580%
CelticKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
CelticKilmarnock
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
CelticKilmarnock
42%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
CelticKilmarnock
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celtic is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - Celtic · 1 pts / game - Kilmarnock

Celtic - half-time state
50% leading17% draw33% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)1
CelticKilmarnock
1.42Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CelticKilmarnock
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
CelticKilmarnock
2.08Average goals (1st half)1.83
CelticKilmarnock
50%Clean sheet before half-time25%
CelticKilmarnock
42%No goal before half-time58%
CelticKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

2.08Points per game (2nd half)0.75
CelticKilmarnock
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
CelticKilmarnock
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CelticKilmarnock
1Average goals (2nd half)1.58
CelticKilmarnock
83%Clean sheet after half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock
42%No goal after half-time58%
CelticKilmarnock

Celtic - second-half results

58% W33% D8% L
20
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

17% W25% D58% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Celtic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game1.80.8
Goals allowed / game1.20.0
Average goals per game3.00.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 9
Kilmarnock - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game1.61.0
Average goals per game2.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
8
4
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
8
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

CelticLigaKilmarnock
Average goals per game▲ 3.082.83▲ 3.42
Both teams scored▼ 50%57%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 58%58%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%23%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time• 83%83%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Celtic's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kilmarnock. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
Kilmarnock FC
2 : 3
Celtic FC
Celtic FC
4 : 0
Kilmarnock FC
Kilmarnock FC
1 : 2
Celtic FC

FAQ

When do Celtic and Kilmarnock play?

Celtic face Kilmarnock on November 8, 2026 in Premiership at Celtic Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Kilmarnock?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 4, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic score 2.25 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.08. The Premiership average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Celtic's matches and 58% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are Celtic and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games Celtic have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

The statistical background for Celtic vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.