Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Central Coast Mariners are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw), securing 2.6 PPG, but their home record is significantly weaker – only a 30% win rate and as many as 40% draws at their own stadium. Adelaide United, despite a better league position and a higher average of goals scored (1.44 vs 1.2 away), have problematic away form with a 44% loss rate and only 33% wins. A key factor is that Adelaide have never finished an away match without scoring (FTS% 0%), while the hosts have a tendency to draw at home. Considering the current form of the hosts, the poor away disposition of the visitors, and the even goal difference of both teams, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Central Coast Mariners played against Adelaide United in A-League (Australia). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Central Coast Mariners has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Adelaide United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Central Coast Mariners scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.42. Adelaide United scores 1.70 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Central Coast Mariners's games and 75% of Adelaide United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 70%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Adelaide United has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.05 per game. Central Coast Mariners takes 9.6 shots per game, while Adelaide United takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Central Coast Mariners leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Adelaide United leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Central Coast Mariners's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Adelaide United, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
A-League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Central Coast Mariners are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw), securing 2.6 PPG, but their home record is significantly weaker – only a 30% win rate and as many as 40% draws at their own stadium. Adelaide United, despite a better league position and a higher average of goals scored (1.44 vs 1.2 away), have problematic away form with a 44% loss rate and only 33% wins. A key factor is that Adelaide have never finished an away match without scoring (FTS% 0%), while the hosts have a tendency to draw at home. Considering the current form of the hosts, the poor away disposition of the visitors, and the even goal difference of both teams, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Central Coast Mariners | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Central Coast Mariners is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Central Coast Mariners · 1.6 pts / game - Adelaide United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adelaide United is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Central Coast Mariners · 1.7 goals / game - Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
Adelaide United scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
Over / Under - Adelaide United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Central Coast Mariners · 1.4 pts / game - Adelaide United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Central Coast Mariners | Liga | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.84 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Central Coast Mariners's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Adelaide United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
The A-League match finished Central Coast Mariners 1:1 Adelaide United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.42 goals per game on average and Adelaide United 1.70. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Central Coast Mariners's matches and 75% of Adelaide United's.
What form are Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United in?
Over the last 5 games Central Coast Mariners have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Adelaide United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.