Central Español vs Cerro: match statistics
Central Español vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Español play Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Central Español: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Español scores 1.35 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Español 55%, Cerro 40%. Over 2.5: Central Español 55%, Cerro 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.21. Central Español: 9.4 shots per match, Cerro: 11.4.
Match halves
Central Español: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Cerro: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I project a home win (1). Central Español have scored 17 goals this season versus Cerro's 7 and average 1.4 goals per home game (9 goals in the last 5), while the visitors average just 0.4 goals per away match and fail to score in 60% of their away fixtures. Home side averages 8.6 shots with 4.6 on target at home, converting at 16% with an xG of 1.2, whereas Cerro registers 13.8 shots away but only 2.4 on target and a 3% conversion rate with xG 1.4, indicating significant waste in chance-taking by the visitors. Both teams concede goals, but Cerro concedes 2.2 goals per away game (80% away losses and 0% away wins), while Central concedes 1.6 at home (last 5 matches: 12 conceded), so the edge lies with the hosts in terms of attacking efficiency and reliability. Based on this, I estimate a 70% probability of a home win, 20% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Español | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Español is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Central Español · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Español is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Central Español · 0.6 goals / match - Cerro
Central Español is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Central Español · 1.6 goals / match - Cerro
Central Español scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Cerro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Central Español
Over / Under — Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Central Español is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Central Español · 0.75 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Español
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Central Español | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Central Español 0 - 0 - 1 Cerro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Español vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Central Español 3:1 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Cerro?
Central Español score 1.35 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.60. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Central Español's matches and 40% of Cerro's.
What form are Central Español and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cerro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Cerro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Central Español vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.