Central Español vs Cerro Largo: match statistics
Central Español shows a significantly better form with three wins in their last five matches and a 2.0 PPG, while Cerro Largo has earned only 0.6 PPG with four losses in this period. The hosts have a positive goal difference of 6:2 this season, whereas the visitors have recorded a negative goal difference of -2 in away matches. The key factor is Central Español's efficiency in front of their home crowd - a 50% win rate in home matches and no losses in their last two home fixtures. Cerro Largo has major offensive issues on the road, scoring an average of just 0.33 goals per game and failing to score in 67% of their away matches. The xG statistics also work in the hosts' favor (0.98 vs 1.16 for the visitors in relative conditions), and given Cerro Largo's poor conversion rate (4%), Central Español's advantage seems clear.
Central Español vs Cerro Largo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Central Español played against Cerro Largo in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Central Español has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Cerro Largo has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Central Español scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.40. Cerro Largo scores 0.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of Central Español's games and 20% of Cerro Largo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Central Español has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.17 per game. Central Español takes 10.0 shots per game, while Cerro Largo takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Central Español leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Cerro Largo leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Central Español's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Cerro Largo, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.20 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Central Español shows a significantly better form with three wins in their last five matches and a 2.0 PPG, while Cerro Largo has earned only 0.6 PPG with four losses in this period. The hosts have a positive goal difference of 6:2 this season, whereas the visitors have recorded a negative goal difference of -2 in away matches. The key factor is Central Español's efficiency in front of their home crowd - a 50% win rate in home matches and no losses in their last two home fixtures. Cerro Largo has major offensive issues on the road, scoring an average of just 0.33 goals per game and failing to score in 67% of their away matches. The xG statistics also work in the hosts' favor (0.98 vs 1.16 for the visitors in relative conditions), and given Cerro Largo's poor conversion rate (4%), Central Español's advantage seems clear.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Central Español | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Central Español is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Central Español · 0.6 pts / game - Cerro Largo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Español is 200% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Central Español · 0.4 goals / game - Cerro Largo
Central Español is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.4 goals / game - Central Español · 1.2 goals / game - Cerro Largo
Central Español scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Cerro Largo scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Español
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Central Español is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Central Español · 1 pts / game - Cerro Largo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Central Español
Cerro Largo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Central Español | Liga | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.60 | 2.20 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 43% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 40% | 41% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 64% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Español vs Cerro Largo?
The Primera División match finished Central Español 1:3 Cerro Largo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Cerro Largo?
Central Español score 1.20 goals per game on average and Cerro Largo 0.40. The Primera División average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Central Español's matches and 20% of Cerro Largo's.
What form are Central Español and Cerro Largo in?
Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cerro Largo 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Cerro Largo?
The statistical background for Central Español vs Cerro Largo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.