Central Español vs Nacional: match statistics
Central Español vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Central Español played against Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Parque Luis Méndez Piana. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Central Español has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Nacional has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Central Español scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 1.35. Nacional scores 1.52 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Central Español's games and 55% of Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 58%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.24 per game. Central Español takes 9.3 shots per game, while Nacional takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Central Español leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Nacional leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Central Español's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional are favorites primarily because of their recent results: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 3, while Central Español have failed to win any of their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Over the season as a whole, the visitors have scored 47 goals compared with the hosts’ 32, and average 1.4 goals per match away from home, against Central’s 1.19 at home. Chance quality is more evenly matched: Nacional’s away xG stands at 1.32, while the hosts’ home xG is 1.29. However, the visitors allow opponents chances with a lower xG value: 1.21 compared with Central’s 1.55. Caution is warranted, though, as Nacional concede an average of 1.53 goals away from home and have lost 40% of their away matches. Even so, their edge in current form, along with the visitors’ 47% away win rate compared with the hosts’ 38% home win rate, supports backing Nacional.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Over the full season, both teams scored in 50% of Central Español’s matches and 60% of Nacional’s, so the long-term data does not rule out BTTS. However, the last 5 outings point more strongly to the risk of the hosts failing to score: they averaged just 0.6 goals, while Nacional also conceded only 0.6 goals per match over that period. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 27% of their matches this season, and their recent defensive record also looks better in terms of the quality of chances conceded: opponents averaged 0.88 xG, compared with 1.21 over the full season. Nacional averaged 1.8 goals in their recent matches, while Central Español conceded 2.0, making a goal for the visitors seem more likely than one for the hosts. Therefore, I slightly favor BTTS - No, primarily because Central Español may fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 75% of Central Español’s matches and 80% of Nacional’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal in the data. Nacional averages 1.4 goals per game this season, rising to 1.8 over its last five matches; over the same period, Central Español conceded 2.0 goals per game. The hosts average 1.63 goals per game for the season, with an xG of 1.57, but their scoring average has dropped to 0.6 in recent matches, reducing confidence in backing higher goal lines. Although Over 2.5 goals landed in 56% and 60% of these teams’ matches, Over 3.5 occurred in only 19% and 33%, respectively, making the 1.5 line the clearer value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Nacional leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until full time: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Central Español have not won any. Over this period, the hosts were trailing at half-time 4 times, whereas Nacional led after the first half 3 times; the visitors conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before the break, while the hosts scored 0.2. After half-time, Nacional have recently averaged 1.2 goals compared with Central Español's 0.4, strengthening the case for an away win. However, this HT/FT pick is not without risk, as over the season the hosts have won 56% of their matches compared with 47% for the visitors, and have averaged 1.13 goals after half-time. Despite the hosts' season-long strengths, the current gap in form, particularly their frequent deficits at the break, makes 2/2 the single most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Central Español | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Central Español · 2.2 pts / game - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
1.03 goals / game - Central Español · 1.52 goals / game - Nacional
Nacional is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - Central Español · 1.23 goals / game - Nacional
Central Español scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 games), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 games).
Nacional scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 games), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Español
Over / Under - Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Central Español · 1.39 pts / game - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Central Español
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Central Español | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.39 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Central Español's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nacional. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Español vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Central Español 0:1 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Nacional?
Central Español score 1.03 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.52. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Central Español's matches and 55% of Nacional's.
What form are Central Español and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nacional 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Nacional?
The statistical background for Central Español vs Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.