Central Español vs Peñarol: match statistics
Peñarol appear to be the favorites in this match, even though both teams won their opening fixtures of the season 3-0 and 3-1 respectively. The key difference lies in the form over the last five matches – hosts Central Español have averaged 2.0 points per game with a LWWDW record, while Peñarol have averaged 1.6 points per game with a WDLDW form. Peñarol have shown greater offensive efficiency in their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 5, which indicates their offensive potential. Although Central Español have a better defensive record in recent matches (6 goals scored, 2 conceded), Peñarol, as the more decorated club with greater experience, should be able to impose their style of play away from home. Taking all factors into account, I predict an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the solid form of both teams.
Central Español vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Español play Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 16 February 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Central Español: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Español scores 1.35 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.45 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Español 55%, Peñarol 55%. Over 2.5: Central Español 55%, Peñarol 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.21. Central Español: 9.4 shots per match, Peñarol: 14.8.
Match halves
Central Español: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Peñarol: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Peñarol appear to be the favorites in this match, even though both teams won their opening fixtures of the season 3-0 and 3-1 respectively. The key difference lies in the form over the last five matches – hosts Central Español have averaged 2.0 points per game with a LWWDW record, while Peñarol have averaged 1.6 points per game with a WDLDW form. Peñarol have shown greater offensive efficiency in their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 5, which indicates their offensive potential. Although Central Español have a better defensive record in recent matches (6 goals scored, 2 conceded), Peñarol, as the more decorated club with greater experience, should be able to impose their style of play away from home. Taking all factors into account, I predict an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the solid form of both teams.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Español | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Central Español · 2 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Central Español · 1.45 goals / match - Peñarol
Peñarol is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Central Español · 0.95 goals / match - Peñarol
Central Español scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Peñarol scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Central Español
Over / Under — Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Central Español · 1.35 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Español
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Central Español | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.42 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Central Español 1 - 0 - 0 Peñarol. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Español vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Central Español 2:1 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Peñarol?
Central Español score 1.35 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.45. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Central Español's matches and 55% of Peñarol's.
What form are Central Español and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Peñarol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.