Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio UbillaData current as of October 15, 2026

Cerro Largo vs Albion: match statistics

Cerro Largo crest
Cerro Largo
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Albion crest
Albion

Cerro Largo vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cerro Largo played against Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Cerro Largo has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Albion has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Cerro Largo scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.16. Albion scores 1.32 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of Cerro Largo's games and 61% of Albion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 58%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cerro Largo has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.25 per game. Cerro Largo takes 9.8 shots per game, while Albion takes 9.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Cerro Largo leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Albion leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.68 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cerro Largo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Albion, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Cerro Largo have a slight home advantage: they average 1.2 goals per match at home, while Albion score 0.93 away from home. The hosts also create slightly better chances, posting an xG of 1.28 compared with the visitors’ 1.15, and concede an average of 1 goal at home, compared with Albion’s 1.07 away. However, the last five matches give neither side an edge in terms of results — both teams recorded one win, one draw and three losses. Albion scored more goals over this period, 6 to 2, but also conceded more, 10 to 6, casting doubt on their ability to capitalise on the hosts’ lower scoring output. I’m backing a narrow Cerro Largo win, although the 40% draw rate in their home matches suggests that the points could still be shared.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS occurred in 69% of Cerro Largo’s matches and 53% of Albion’s, so full-season data points to a slight edge for both teams to score. Cerro Largo average 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded, while Albion score 0.93 goals and concede an average of 1.07. The case for the home side to score is also supported by Albion conceding an average of 2 goals over their last 5 matches, while Cerro Largo recorded an xG of 1.60. The main concern is the home side’s scoring form: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in only 20% of those games. Even so, Albion recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.2 goals scored in those games, giving the “Yes” selection a moderate edge.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Cerro Largo average 1.69 goals in their home matches, while Albion concede 1.07 on the road, giving the hosts a solid basis for finding the net. On the other hand, the hosts concede an average of 1.63 goals, and Albion’s away xG stands at 1.15, so the visitors also have a chance to add a goal. At least two goals were scored in 75% of Cerro Largo’s home matches and 53% of Albion’s away games, making Over 1.5 the safest pick. Higher lines have less support: at least four goals were scored in only 13% of Albion’s away games, while Cerro Largo have scored just 2 goals in their last five matches. The forecast of 2.65 goals takes into account both the hosts’ attacking potential and the current limitations in both teams’ finishing.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest, though not dominant, scenario is Albion leading at the break and winning at full time: Cerro Largo were trailing at half-time in 50% of their matches, while Albion were ahead at that point in 27%. The hosts concede an average of 1.00 goals before the break, compared with just 0.60 for the visitors, pointing to an Albion advantage in the first 45 minutes. If the visitors take the lead, their defensive record after half-time works in their favor, as they concede an average of 0.47 goals in the second half; meanwhile, Cerro Largo have scored just 0.20 goals per game in that period across their last five appearances. This HT/FT pick carries risk because the hosts average 1.69 goals per game over the season compared with Albion's 0.93, so scenarios in which Cerro Largo win or the match is level from start to finish also have a significant probability.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
Cerro LargoAlbion
4Shots12
Cerro LargoAlbion
0Shots on target5
Cerro LargoAlbion
0.6xG1.48
Cerro LargoAlbion
5Corners4
Cerro LargoAlbion
46Dangerous attacks50
Cerro LargoAlbion
-1Fouls-1
Cerro LargoAlbion
4Cards2
Cerro LargoAlbion

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Cerro LargoAlbion
0.94Goals scored / game1.32
Cerro LargoAlbion
1.16Goals allowed / game1.35
Cerro LargoAlbion
50%Average possession54%
Cerro LargoAlbion
3.42Shots on target / game4.23
Cerro LargoAlbion

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.84Shots per game9.42
Cerro LargoAlbion
3.42Shots on target4.23
Cerro LargoAlbion
9.5%Shot conversion14%
Cerro LargoAlbion
50%Possession54%
Cerro LargoAlbion
1.27xG for1.25
Cerro LargoAlbion
1.55xG against1.45
Cerro LargoAlbion

Shooting quality

Cerro Largo: BalancedAlbion: Efficient finishing
Cerro LargoAlbion
Accuracy (shots on target)35%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Albion is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Cerro Largo · 0.6 pts / game - Albion

Cerro Largo
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
26% W29% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-9-14
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-5
Last 5 at home
0-4-1
DDDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Albion
LLLLW
Season result split
32% W23% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-14
1.19 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Albion is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

0.94 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1.32 goals / game - Albion

Cerro Largo is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.16 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1.35 goals / game - Albion

Cerro Largo scoring profile: strong

Cerro Largo scores in 61% of games (19 of 31 games), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 games).

Albion scoring profile: very strong

Albion scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 games), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 games).

29Goals scored (season)41
Cerro LargoAlbion
36Goals conceded (season)42
Cerro LargoAlbion
2.1Average goals per game2.68
Cerro LargoAlbion
2Goals scored (last 5)6
Cerro LargoAlbion
8Goals conceded (last 5)11
Cerro LargoAlbion

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal74%
Cerro LargoAlbion
23%2 goals35%
Cerro LargoAlbion
10%3 goals13%
Cerro LargoAlbion
0%4 goals3%
Cerro LargoAlbion

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal81%
Cerro LargoAlbion
32%2 goals42%
Cerro LargoAlbion
10%3 goals13%
Cerro LargoAlbion
0%4 goals0%
Cerro LargoAlbion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time26%
Cerro LargoAlbion
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Cerro LargoAlbion
13%Scored in both halves16%
Cerro LargoAlbion

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Cerro LargoAlbion
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Cerro LargoAlbion
40%BTTS - last 580%
Cerro LargoAlbion

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Cerro LargoAlbion
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
Cerro LargoAlbion
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Cerro LargoAlbion

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Cerro LargoAlbion
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Cerro LargoAlbion
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Cerro LargoAlbion

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Largo - half-time state
26% leading32% draw42% trailing
Albion - half-time state
26% leading35% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per game (1st half)1.13
Cerro LargoAlbion
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Cerro LargoAlbion
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
Cerro LargoAlbion
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.45
Cerro LargoAlbion
52%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Cerro LargoAlbion
65%No goal before half-time52%
Cerro LargoAlbion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per game (2nd half)1.19
Cerro LargoAlbion
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Cerro LargoAlbion
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Cerro LargoAlbion
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.23
Cerro LargoAlbion
55%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Cerro LargoAlbion
61%No goal after half-time58%
Cerro LargoAlbion

Cerro Largo - second-half results

32% W29% D39% L
34
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Albion - second-half results

26% W42% D32% L
35
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cerro Largo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.40
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Albion - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.40.8
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
5
5
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
2
4
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Albion
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
4
10
16-30
10
8
31-45
6
2
46-60
7
5
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Cerro LargoLigaAlbion
Average goals per game▼ 2.102.38▲ 2.68
Both teams scored▼ 42%51%▲ 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 32%44%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▼ 26%29%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▲ 74%67%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time• 74%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cerro LargoYellow cardAlberto Sebastián Assis Silva
  2. Cerro LargoYellow cardSantiago Franca Ascarate
  3. AlbionYellow cardIker Zufiaurre
  4. Cerro LargoYellow cardJhonatan Alexis Piegas Núñez
  5. AlbionGoalÁlvaro López
  6. AlbionYellow cardCarlos Airala

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Cerro Largo's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Albion. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Albion?

The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 0:1 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Albion?

Cerro Largo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Albion 1.32. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cerro Largo's matches and 61% of Albion's.

What form are Cerro Largo and Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Albion 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Albion?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.