Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio UbillaData current as of October 21, 2026

Cerro Largo vs Boston River: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cerro Largo vs Boston River: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cerro Largo plays Boston River in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.

Recent form

Cerro Largo has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Boston River has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Cerro Largo scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 1.15. Boston River scores 1.00 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of Cerro Largo's games and 48% of Boston River's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 45%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Boston River has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.24 per game. Cerro Largo takes 9.6 shots per game, while Boston River takes 10.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Cerro Largo leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Boston River leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cerro Largo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Boston River, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.61)
(2.93)
(2.54)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Cerro LargoBoston River
0.91Goals scored / game1
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.15Goals allowed / game1.3
Cerro LargoBoston River
50%Average possession51%
Cerro LargoBoston River
3.27Shots on target / game3.94
Cerro LargoBoston River

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.55Shots per game10.09
Cerro LargoBoston River
3.27Shots on target3.94
Cerro LargoBoston River
9.5%Shot conversion9.9%
Cerro LargoBoston River
50%Possession51%
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.24xG for1.3
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.52xG against1.54
Cerro LargoBoston River

Shooting quality

Cerro Largo: BalancedBoston River: Balanced
Cerro LargoBoston River
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Boston River is 600% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Cerro Largo · 1.4 pts / game - Boston River

Cerro Largo
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
24% W30% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-15
1.03 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-6
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Boston River
LLDWW
Season result split
30% W21% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-16
1.12 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Boston River is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

0.91 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1 goals / game - Boston River

Cerro Largo is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.15 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1.3 goals / game - Boston River

Cerro Largo scoring profile: strong

Cerro Largo scores in 61% of games (20 of 33 games), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 games).

Boston River scoring profile: strong

Boston River scores in 58% of games (19 of 33 games), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 games).

30Goals scored (season)33
Cerro LargoBoston River
38Goals conceded (season)43
Cerro LargoBoston River
2.06Average goals per game2.3
Cerro LargoBoston River
2Goals scored (last 5)6
Cerro LargoBoston River
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Cerro LargoBoston River

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal58%
Cerro LargoBoston River
21%2 goals24%
Cerro LargoBoston River
9%3 goals12%
Cerro LargoBoston River
0%4 goals6%
Cerro LargoBoston River

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal79%
Cerro LargoBoston River
30%2 goals36%
Cerro LargoBoston River
9%3 goals12%
Cerro LargoBoston River
0%4 goals3%
Cerro LargoBoston River

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
Cerro LargoBoston River
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Cerro LargoBoston River
12%Scored in both halves15%
Cerro LargoBoston River

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Cerro LargoBoston River
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Cerro LargoBoston River
40%BTTS - last 560%
Cerro LargoBoston River

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Cerro LargoBoston River
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Cerro LargoBoston River
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Cerro LargoBoston River

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Cerro LargoBoston River
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Cerro LargoBoston River
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Cerro LargoBoston River

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Largo is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / game - Cerro Largo · 1 pts / game - Boston River

Cerro Largo - half-time state
24% leading33% draw42% trailing
Boston River - half-time state
15% leading55% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per game (1st half)1
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.88Average goals (1st half)0.85
Cerro LargoBoston River
52%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Cerro LargoBoston River
67%No goal before half-time73%
Cerro LargoBoston River

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per game (2nd half)1.12
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Cerro LargoBoston River
55%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Cerro LargoBoston River
61%No goal after half-time55%
Cerro LargoBoston River

Cerro Largo - second-half results

33% W27% D39% L
35
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Boston River - second-half results

21% W48% D30% L
33
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cerro Largo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.200.80
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Boston River - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
5
6
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
2
4
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Boston River
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
5
31-45
7
5
46-60
6
9
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Boston River

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Cerro LargoLigaBoston River
Average goals per game▼ 2.062.37• 2.30
Both teams scored▼ 42%50%▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 30%44%• 45%
Clean sheets▼ 24%29%▼ 21%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%67%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 76%73%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cerro Largo's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Boston River. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

Cerro Largo
3 : 0
Boston River
Boston River
1 : 0
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
2 : 2
CA Boston River
CA Boston River
1 : 0
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club

FAQ

When do Cerro Largo and Boston River play?

Cerro Largo face Boston River on October 25, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Boston River?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 1, Boston River won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Cerro Largo score 0.91 goals per game on average and Boston River 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cerro Largo's matches and 48% of Boston River's.

What form are Cerro Largo and Boston River in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Boston River 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

The statistical background for Cerro Largo vs Boston River — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.