Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: match statistics
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo play Defensor Sporting in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 14 July 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Defensor Sporting: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Defensor Sporting scores 0.80 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Defensor Sporting 50%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Defensor Sporting 20%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Defensor Sporting has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo: 9.8 shots per match, Defensor Sporting: 12.2.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Defensor Sporting: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Defensor Sporting: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.
Match description
I back a Cerro Largo win. The hosts (2nd in the table) average 1.56 goals at home from 10.22 shots and 3.11 on target, with a conversion rate of 15%, while Defensor Sporting (8th) average just 0.6 goals away from 9.4 shots and a 6% conversion. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 7 and conceded 4, averaging 1.4 points per game; Defensor have 3 scored and 7 conceded with only 0.4 points per game, which clearly favors the home side. Cerro Largo fail to score in only 22% of home matches and keep a clean sheet in 33%, whereas Defensor fail to score in 50% of away games and keep a clean sheet in only 20%. In terms of chance quality, the hosts’ xG at home is 1.28 versus Defensor’s 1.20 away; however the visitors face on average 1.63 xG against while conceding an actual 0.9 goals away, suggesting their defence has limited goals more through luck or goalkeeping than by preventing high-quality chances. Considering the efficiency gap (15% vs 6%), higher goal output in the last 5 (7 vs 3) and superior points return (1.4 vs 0.4), I estimate Cerro Largo’s win probability at ~60%, draw 25% and Defensor win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.6 pts / match - Defensor Sporting
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.8 goals / match - Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.85 goals / match - Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Defensor Sporting scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Largo
Over / Under — Defensor Sporting
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Largo is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.9 pts / match - Defensor Sporting
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Defensor Sporting - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Cerro Largo 1 - 1 - 2 Defensor Sporting. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 1:1 Defensor Sporting. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 1, Defensor Sporting won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Cerro Largo score 1.10 goals per game on average and Defensor Sporting 0.80. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Cerro Largo's matches and 50% of Defensor Sporting's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Defensor Sporting 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.