Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData current as of 18 July 2026

Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics

120%(3.00)
X25%(3.10)
255%(2.15)

Deportivo Maldonado clearly outperforms Cerro Largo in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have a disastrous home record with 0% wins and 100% losses in their home matches, without earning a single point. The visitors, on the other hand, show solid form with 4 wins this season and a positive goal difference (+5 overall, +1 away). Deportivo Maldonado has better offensive efficiency (1.67 goals per away game vs 0.5 for the hosts), a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 5%), and better xG stats (1.42 vs 1.2). The form of both teams from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). Considering all these factors, Deportivo Maldonado is the clear favorite for this match.

Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro Largo play Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro Largo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.80 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Deportivo Maldonado 65%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Deportivo Maldonado 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo: 9.8 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 11.6.

Match halves

Cerro Largo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Deportivo Maldonado clearly outperforms Cerro Largo in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have a disastrous home record with 0% wins and 100% losses in their home matches, without earning a single point. The visitors, on the other hand, show solid form with 4 wins this season and a positive goal difference (+5 overall, +1 away). Deportivo Maldonado has better offensive efficiency (1.67 goals per away game vs 0.5 for the hosts), a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 5%), and better xG stats (1.42 vs 1.2). The form of both teams from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). Considering all these factors, Deportivo Maldonado is the clear favorite for this match.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
10Shots17
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
4Shots on target5
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
1.36xG1.8
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
5Corners3
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
61Dangerous attacks53
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
10Fouls13
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
3Cards3
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
1.1Goals scored / match1.8
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
1.05Goals conceded / match1.05
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
50%Average possession52%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
3.25Shots on target / match4.45
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.75Shots per match11.6
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
3.25Shots on target4.45
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
11.3%Shot conversion15.5%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
50%Possession52%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
1.24xG for1.43
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
1.52xG against1.27
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

Shooting quality

Cerro Largo: BalancedDeportivo Maldonado: Efficient finishing
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportivo Maldonado is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 2.2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado

Cerro Largo
LWWDD
Season result split
35% W20% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-9
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Deportivo Maldonado
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-4
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-3
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Maldonado is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.8 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado

Cerro Largo scoring profile: strong

Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

Deportivo Maldonado scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Maldonado scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

22Goals scored (season)36
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
21Goals conceded (season)21
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
2.15Average goals in match2.85
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
6Goals scored (last 5)12
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal95%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
35%2 goals45%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
15%3 goals25%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0%4 goals15%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal65%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
25%2 goals35%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
10%3 goals5%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0%4 goals0%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
Deportivo Maldonado - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 20 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time40%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
5%BTTS in both halves10%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
20%Scored in both halves35%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
20%BTTS - last 580%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Maldonado is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.95 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado

Cerro Largo - half-time state
25% leading45% draw30% trailing
Deportivo Maldonado - half-time state
50% leading45% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.95
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0.35Goals scored (1st half)1
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.5
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
60%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
65%No goal before half-time25%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.75
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
55%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado
55%No goal after half-time45%
Cerro LargoDeportivo Maldonado

Cerro Largo - second-half results

35% W30% R35% P
24
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
39
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cerro Largo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Deportivo Maldonado - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Maldonado
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
3
16-30
9
4
31-45
5
0
46-60
1
5
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

Deportivo Maldonado

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
165%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Cerro LargoLigaDeportivo Maldonado
Average goals in match 2.152.42 2.85
Both teams scored 35%53% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%46% 55%
Clean sheets 30%27% 35%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 80%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 3:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Cerro Largo score 1.10 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.80. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Cerro Largo's matches and 65% of Deportivo Maldonado's.

What form are Cerro Largo and Deportivo Maldonado in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.